Where and when is FSV Zwickau vs Tasmania Berlin played?

FSV Zwickau vs Tasmania Berlin is played on October 11, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at GGZ Arena, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

FSV Zwickau vs Tasmania Berlin: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 12Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)GGZ Arena, Zwickau

FSV Zwickau

Tasmania Berlin

The Footlab model makes FSV Zwickau the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Tasmania Berlin. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FSV Zwickau vs Tasmania Berlin?

FSV Zwickau starts as the favourite with a 110-point Elo edge (1,927 vs 1,818).

FSV Zwickau win53 %

Draw23 %

Tasmania Berlin win23 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FSV Zwickau have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Tasmania Berlin have 8, 0 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FSV Zwickau
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 14, 2026	Luckenwalde(home)	2-1	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 9, 2026	BFC Dynamo(away)	0-0	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 4, 2026	Chemnitzer FC(away)	1-3	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 1, 2026	Greifswalder FC(home)	0-3	Regionalliga - Nordost
Jul 26, 2026	FC Carl Zeiss Jena(away)	2-1	Regionalliga - Nordost

Tasmania Berlin
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 16, 2026	Lokomotive Leipzig(home)	2-3	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 8, 2026	Luckenwalde(away)	2-1	Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 5, 2026	FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt(away)	0-6	Regionalliga - Nordost
Jul 31, 2026	Erzgebirge Aue(home)	0-2	Regionalliga - Nordost
Jul 25, 2026	Magdeburg II(away)	1-5	Regionalliga - Nordost

How many goals should we expect?

FSV Zwickau score 2.0 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Tasmania Berlin score 2.3 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
FSV Zwickau	2.0	1.7	4	10/15	10/15
Tasmania Berlin	2.3	2.5	3	9/15	12/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

FSV Zwickau sit 9th in Regionalliga - Nordost (7 points from 5 matches) and Tasmania Berlin sit 16th (3 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
9	FSV Zwickau	5	2	1	2	5	8	7
16	Tasmania Berlin	5	1	0	4	6	18	3

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FSV Zwickau vs Tasmania Berlin?: The Footlab model makes FSV Zwickau the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Tasmania Berlin.
Where and when is FSV Zwickau vs Tasmania Berlin played?: FSV Zwickau vs Tasmania Berlin is played on October 11, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at GGZ Arena, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.