Where and when is Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Kataller Toyama played?

Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Kataller Toyama is played on September 2, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Ichigo Miyazaki Shintomi Soccer Field, in the J-League Cup.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Kataller Toyama: prediction and stats

J-League CupRound of 128Kick-off on September 2, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Ichigo Miyazaki Shintomi Soccer Field, Shintomi

Tegevajaro Miyazaki

Kataller Toyama

The Footlab model makes Tegevajaro Miyazaki the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Kataller Toyama. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Kataller Toyama?

A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate Tegevajaro Miyazaki (1,863) and Kataller Toyama (1,815).

Tegevajaro Miyazaki win46 %

Draw25 %

Kataller Toyama win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tegevajaro Miyazaki have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Kataller Toyama have 10, 3 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Tegevajaro Miyazaki
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Shonan Bellmare(home)	0-0	J2 League
Aug 15, 2026	Ventforet Kofu(away)	1-1	J2 League
Aug 8, 2026	Yokohama FC(home)	0-1	J2 League
Jul 15, 2026	Yokohama F. Marinos(away)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jun 6, 2026	Ventforet Kofu(home)	2-1	J2/J3 League

Kataller Toyama
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Imabari(home)	4-0	J2 League
Aug 15, 2026	Blaublitz Akita(away)	4-0	J2 League
Aug 8, 2026	Vanraure Hachinohe(away)	0-2	J2 League
Jun 6, 2026	Vegalta Sendai(away)	1-1	J2/J3 League
May 30, 2026	Tegevajaro Miyazaki(home)	1-0	J2/J3 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Tegevajaro Miyazaki win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Kataller Toyama win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 30, 2026	Kataller Toyama 1-0 Tegevajaro Miyazaki	J2/J3 League
Oct 12, 2024	Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1-1 Kataller Toyama	J3 League
May 3, 2024	Kataller Toyama 1-1 Tegevajaro Miyazaki	J3 League
Nov 26, 2023	Tegevajaro Miyazaki 0-6 Kataller Toyama	J3 League
Apr 9, 2023	Kataller Toyama 2-0 Tegevajaro Miyazaki	J3 League
Sep 10, 2022	Kataller Toyama 2-1 Tegevajaro Miyazaki	J3 League

Last archived meeting: Kataller Toyama vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki on May 30, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Tegevajaro Miyazaki score 1.4 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Kataller Toyama score 2.1 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Tegevajaro Miyazaki	1.4	0.6	7	6/15	5/15
Kataller Toyama	2.1	1.0	7	7/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Kataller Toyama?: The Footlab model makes Tegevajaro Miyazaki the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Kataller Toyama.
Where and when is Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Kataller Toyama played?: Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Kataller Toyama is played on September 2, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Ichigo Miyazaki Shintomi Soccer Field, in the J-League Cup.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.