Tenerife II vs Atlético Central: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 2Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Centro Insular de Atletismo de Tenerife, Santa Cruz de Tenerife
The Footlab model makes Tenerife II the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for Atlético Central. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tenerife II vs Atlético Central?
A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Tenerife II (1,847) and Atlético Central (1,854).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tenerife II have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Atlético Central have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 18, 2026 | Tenerife(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | SS Reyes(home) | 1-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Conquense(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | CD Coria(home) | 4-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Elche II(home) | 1-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 20, 2026 | Caudal(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Caudal(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Dos Hermanas(away) | 4-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| May 31, 2026 | Dos Hermanas(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| May 23, 2026 | Bollullos(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
How many goals should we expect?
Tenerife II score 1.8 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Atlético Central score 1.2 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tenerife II | 1.8 | 2.0 | 3 | 9/15 | 14/15 |
| Atlético Central | 1.2 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tenerife II vs Atlético Central?
- The Footlab model makes Tenerife II the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for Atlético Central.
- Where and when is Tenerife II vs Atlético Central played?
- Tenerife II vs Atlético Central is played on September 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Centro Insular de Atletismo de Tenerife, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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