Match

Tenerife II vs Atlético Central: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 2Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Centro Insular de Atletismo de Tenerife, Santa Cruz de Tenerife

Tenerife IIAtlético Central

The Footlab model makes Tenerife II the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for Atlético Central. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Tenerife II vs Atlético Central?

A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Tenerife II (1,847) and Atlético Central (1,854).

Tenerife II win44 %
Draw29 %
Atlético Central win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tenerife II have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Atlético Central have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Tenerife II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jul 18, 2026Tenerife(away)0-3Friendlies Clubs
May 3, 2026SS Reyes(home)1-3Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 26, 2026Conquense(away)0-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 19, 2026CD Coria(home)4-0Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 12, 2026Elche II(home)1-3Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Atlético Central
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jun 20, 2026Caudal(away)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
Jun 14, 2026Caudal(home)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
Jun 7, 2026Dos Hermanas(away)4-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 10
May 31, 2026Dos Hermanas(home)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 10
May 23, 2026Bollullos(home)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 10

How many goals should we expect?

Tenerife II score 1.8 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Atlético Central score 1.2 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Tenerife II1.82.039/1514/15
Atlético Central1.20.776/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Tenerife II vs Atlético Central?
The Footlab model makes Tenerife II the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for Atlético Central.
Where and when is Tenerife II vs Atlético Central played?
Tenerife II vs Atlético Central is played on September 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Centro Insular de Atletismo de Tenerife, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Tenerife II and Atlético Central

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