Where and when is Sevilla Atletico vs Marbella played?

Sevilla Atletico vs Marbella is played on September 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Jesús Navas, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Sevilla Atletico vs Marbella: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 2Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Jesús Navas, Sevilla

Sevilla Atletico

Marbella

The Footlab model makes Sevilla Atletico the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Marbella. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Sevilla Atletico vs Marbella?

A very open match: only 38 Elo points separate Sevilla Atletico (1,762) and Marbella (1,800).

Sevilla Atletico win37 %

Draw30 %

Marbella win33 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sevilla Atletico have 1 wins, 5 draws and 9 defeats; Marbella have 5, 1 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Sevilla Atletico
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 23, 2026	Alcorcon(home)	1-1	Primera División RFEF - Group 2
May 16, 2026	Villarreal II(away)	0-2	Primera División RFEF - Group 2
May 10, 2026	Eldense(home)	2-2	Primera División RFEF - Group 2
May 2, 2026	Gimnastic(away)	1-2	Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 26, 2026	Algeciras(home)	0-2	Primera División RFEF - Group 2

Marbella
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 22, 2026	Teruel(home)	3-1	Primera División RFEF - Group 2
May 16, 2026	Alcorcon(away)	2-6	Primera División RFEF - Group 2
May 10, 2026	Juventud Torremolinos(home)	0-1	Primera División RFEF - Group 2
May 3, 2026	Eldense(away)	1-3	Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 26, 2026	Sabadell(home)	0-1	Primera División RFEF - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Sevilla Atletico win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Marbella win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 22, 2026	Marbella 3-0 Sevilla Atletico	Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Nov 29, 2025	Sevilla Atletico 1-0 Marbella	Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Mar 29, 2025	Sevilla Atletico 0-1 Marbella	Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Oct 12, 2024	Marbella 4-1 Sevilla Atletico	Primera División RFEF - Group 2
Apr 14, 2024	Marbella 2-0 Sevilla Atletico	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Dec 3, 2023	Sevilla Atletico 2-0 Marbella	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4

Last archived meeting: Marbella vs Sevilla Atletico on Mar 22, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Sevilla Atletico score 0.6 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Marbella score 1.5 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Sevilla Atletico	0.6	1.5	2	7/15	5/15
Marbella	1.5	1.8	3	7/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Sevilla Atletico vs Marbella?: The Footlab model makes Sevilla Atletico the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Marbella.
Where and when is Sevilla Atletico vs Marbella played?: Sevilla Atletico vs Marbella is played on September 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Jesús Navas, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.