Where and when is Xerez vs Badajoz played?

Xerez vs Badajoz is played on September 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Chapín, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Xerez vs Badajoz: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 2Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de Chapín, Jerez de la Frontera

Xerez

Badajoz

The Footlab model makes Xerez the favourite at 37%, against 31% for a draw and 32% for Badajoz. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Xerez vs Badajoz?

A very open match: only 66 Elo points separate Xerez (1,927) and Badajoz (1,994).

Xerez win37 %

Draw31 %

Badajoz win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Xerez have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Badajoz have 12, 2 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Xerez
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 14, 2026	Portuense(away)	0-0	Friendlies Clubs
May 17, 2026	Conquense(away)	0-0	Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 9, 2026	Conquense(home)	1-1	Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs
May 3, 2026	Ucam Murcia(home)	1-0	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 26, 2026	Xerez Deportivo(away)	0-0	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4

Badajoz
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Jun 20, 2026	Cuarte(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
Jun 14, 2026	Cuarte(home)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
Jun 7, 2026	Moralo(home)	0-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 14
May 31, 2026	Moralo(away)	2-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 14
May 24, 2026	Jaraíz(home)	2-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 14

How many goals should we expect?

Xerez score 0.7 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Badajoz score 2.5 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Xerez	0.7	0.5	8	4/15	2/15
Badajoz	2.5	0.7	8	6/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	Xerez	34	17	8	9	32	24	59

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Xerez vs Badajoz?: The Footlab model makes Xerez the favourite at 37%, against 31% for a draw and 32% for Badajoz.
Where and when is Xerez vs Badajoz played?: Xerez vs Badajoz is played on September 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de Chapín, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.