Estepona vs Linares Deportivo: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 2Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Francisco Muñoz Pérez, Estepona
The Footlab model makes Estepona the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Linares Deportivo. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Estepona vs Linares Deportivo?
A very open match: only 50 Elo points separate Estepona (1,926) and Linares Deportivo (1,877).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Estepona have 9 wins, 5 draws and 1 defeats; Linares Deportivo have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Real Madrid III(home) | 3-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 10, 2026 | Real Madrid III(away) | 2-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Play-offs |
| May 3, 2026 | Yeclano(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Águilas(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Linares Deportivo(away) | 3-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dos Hermanas(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Extremadura 1924(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Melilla(away) | 4-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Estepona(home) | 2-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Xerez Deportivo(away) | 0-0 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Estepona win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Linares Deportivo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2026 | Linares Deportivo 2-3 Estepona | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Estepona 1-1 Linares Deportivo | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Mar 16, 2025 | Linares Deportivo 1-2 Estepona | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Nov 3, 2024 | Estepona 1-1 Linares Deportivo | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Linares Deportivo vs Estepona on Apr 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Estepona score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Linares Deportivo score 1.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estepona | 1.7 | 0.9 | 4 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Linares Deportivo | 1.2 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Estepona sit 13th in Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 (44 points from 34 matches) and Linares Deportivo sit 8th (47 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Linares Deportivo | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 42 | 45 | 47 |
| 13 | Estepona | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 40 | 44 | 44 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Estepona vs Linares Deportivo?
- The Footlab model makes Estepona the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Linares Deportivo.
- Where and when is Estepona vs Linares Deportivo played?
- Estepona vs Linares Deportivo is played on September 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Francisco Muñoz Pérez, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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