Match

Don Benito vs Las Palmas II: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 2Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Vicente Sanz, Don Benito

Don BenitoLas Palmas II

The Footlab model makes Don Benito the favourite at 51%, against 28% for a draw and 21% for Las Palmas II. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Don Benito vs Las Palmas II?

A very open match: only 46 Elo points separate Don Benito (1,911) and Las Palmas II (1,865).

Don Benito win51 %
Draw28 %
Las Palmas II win21 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Don Benito have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Las Palmas II have 3, 6 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Don Benito
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Moralo(away)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 14
May 3, 2026Diocesano(home)8-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 14
Apr 26, 2026Villafranca(away)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 14
Apr 19, 2026Jerez(away)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 14
Apr 12, 2026Santa Amalia(home)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 14
Las Palmas II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 3, 2026Socuéllamos(away)1-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 26, 2026Orihuela(home)2-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 19, 2026Getafe II(away)0-3Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 11, 2026Real Madrid III(home)0-1Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 5, 2026RSD Alcalá(away)1-2Segunda División RFEF - Group 5

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Don Benito win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Las Palmas II win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 13, 2022Don Benito 3-2 Las Palmas IISegunda División RFEF - Group 4
Oct 24, 2021Las Palmas II 1-4 Don BenitoSegunda División RFEF - Group 4

Last archived meeting: Don Benito vs Las Palmas II on Mar 13, 2022

How many goals should we expect?

Don Benito score 2.1 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Las Palmas II score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Don Benito2.10.766/156/15
Las Palmas II1.11.5210/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2024-25 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
18Don Benito346820305126

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Don Benito vs Las Palmas II?
The Footlab model makes Don Benito the favourite at 51%, against 28% for a draw and 21% for Las Palmas II.
Where and when is Don Benito vs Las Palmas II played?
Don Benito vs Las Palmas II is played on September 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Vicente Sanz, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Don Benito and Las Palmas II

Ready to know everything about football?