Don Benito vs Las Palmas II: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 2Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Vicente Sanz, Don Benito
The Footlab model makes Don Benito the favourite at 51%, against 28% for a draw and 21% for Las Palmas II. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Don Benito vs Las Palmas II?
A very open match: only 46 Elo points separate Don Benito (1,911) and Las Palmas II (1,865).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Don Benito have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Las Palmas II have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Moralo(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| May 3, 2026 | Diocesano(home) | 8-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Villafranca(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Jerez(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Santa Amalia(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Socuéllamos(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Orihuela(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Getafe II(away) | 0-3 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Real Madrid III(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | RSD Alcalá(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Don Benito win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Las Palmas II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2022 | Don Benito 3-2 Las Palmas II | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 24, 2021 | Las Palmas II 1-4 Don Benito | Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Don Benito vs Las Palmas II on Mar 13, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Don Benito score 2.1 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Las Palmas II score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Don Benito | 2.1 | 0.7 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Las Palmas II | 1.1 | 1.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Don Benito | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 30 | 51 | 26 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Don Benito vs Las Palmas II?
- The Footlab model makes Don Benito the favourite at 51%, against 28% for a draw and 21% for Las Palmas II.
- Where and when is Don Benito vs Las Palmas II played?
- Don Benito vs Las Palmas II is played on September 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Vicente Sanz, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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