Sanluqueño vs Tamaraceite: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 2Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Palmar, Sanlúcar de Barrameda
The Footlab model makes Tamaraceite the favourite at 36%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for Sanluqueño. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sanluqueño vs Tamaraceite?
Tamaraceite starts as the favourite with a 111-point Elo edge (1,863 vs 1,752).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sanluqueño have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Tamaraceite have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Villarreal II(home) | 1-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 16, 2026 | Teruel(away) | 0-0 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 9, 2026 | Algeciras(home) | 0-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| May 3, 2026 | Ibiza(away) | 0-4 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Alcorcon(home) | 0-1 | Primera División RFEF - Group 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 4, 2026 | Tenerife(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Guijuelo(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Guijuelo(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Jun 7, 2026 | San Fernando CD(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| May 30, 2026 | San Fernando CD(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Sanluqueño win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Tamaraceite win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2021 | Tamaraceite 0-0 Sanluqueño | Primera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Dec 6, 2020 | Sanluqueño 0-0 Tamaraceite | Primera División RFEF - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Tamaraceite vs Sanluqueño on Mar 7, 2021
How many goals should we expect?
Sanluqueño score 0.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Tamaraceite score 1.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sanluqueño | 0.5 | 1.5 | 4 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Tamaraceite | 1.9 | 1.2 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sanluqueño vs Tamaraceite?
- The Footlab model makes Tamaraceite the favourite at 36%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for Sanluqueño.
- Where and when is Sanluqueño vs Tamaraceite played?
- Sanluqueño vs Tamaraceite is played on September 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Palmar, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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