Tenerife vs Girona: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 12, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Heliodoro Rodríguez Lopéz, Santa Cruz de Tenerife (Tenerife)
The Footlab AI model makes Tenerife the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Girona. The most likely score is 1-1. If Tenerife wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tenerife vs Girona?
A very open match: only 36 Elo points separate Tenerife (1,939) and Girona (1,975).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Tenerife vs Girona
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Tenerife
4-4-2- 18Enric Gallego
- 8VÃctor Moreno
- 6Juanjo
- 15Fabricio
- 14Gerard Valentín
- 24Iván Chapela
- 2David Rodríguez
- 12A. Landázuri
- 19César Álvarez
- 4José León
- 1Dani Martín
Girona
4-2-3-1- 9Abel Ruiz
- 24I. Gonzalez
- 6D. van de Beek
- 23Carles Pérez
- 14Iván Morante
- 36Javier Sarasa
- 11Álex Moreno
- 5David López
- 16Alejandro Francés
- 4Javier Boñar
- 13P. Gazzaniga
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 08:31 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tenerife have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Girona have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2026 | Cordoba(away) | 2-3 | Segunda División |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Cadiz(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Castellón(away) | 0-5 | Segunda División |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Leganes(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Real Sociedad II(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Mallorca(home) | 0-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Albacete(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Cadiz(away) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Castellón(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Sporting Gijon(away) | 2-0 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Tenerife wins, 1 draw, 2 Girona wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 19, 2022 | Tenerife 1-3 Girona | Segunda División |
| Jun 11, 2022 | Girona 0-0 Tenerife | Segunda División |
| May 9, 2022 | Girona 0-1 Tenerife | Segunda División |
| Nov 8, 2021 | Tenerife 2-1 Girona | Segunda División |
| May 1, 2021 | Girona 1-0 Tenerife | Segunda División |
| Dec 21, 2020 | Tenerife 2-0 Girona | Segunda División |
How many goals should we expect?
Tenerife score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Girona score 1.7 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tenerife | 1.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Girona | 1.7 | 1.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tenerife sit 12th in Segunda División (11 points from 8 matches) and Girona sit 4th (14 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Girona | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 8 | 14 |
| 12 | Tenerife | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 12 | 11 |
A question about Tenerife vs Girona?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tenerife vs Girona?
- The Footlab AI model makes Tenerife the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Girona.
- Where and when is Tenerife vs Girona played?
- Tenerife vs Girona is played on October 12, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Heliodoro Rodríguez Lopéz, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.