Ternana vs Recanatese: prediction and stats
Coppa Italia Serie DRound of 64Kick-off on October 7, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Libero Liberati, Terni
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ternana have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Recanatese have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Montevarchi Calcio(home) | 4-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Scandicci(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Tau Altopascio(home) | 3-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Mezzolara(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Gavorrano(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Maceratese(home) | 2-3 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Lanciano FC(away) | 1-4 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Montecchio Gallo(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Foligno Calcio(home) | 4-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Santegidiese(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone F |
How many goals should we expect?
Ternana score 1.2 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Recanatese score 1.5 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ternana | 1.2 | 1.2 | 2 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Recanatese | 1.5 | 1.3 | 5 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy