Prato vs Tau Altopascio: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone EGroup E - 12Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Lungobisenzio, Prato
The Footlab model makes Prato the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Tau Altopascio. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Prato vs Tau Altopascio?
A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Prato (1,787) and Tau Altopascio (1,770).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Prato have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Tau Altopascio have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Seravezza(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone E |
| May 10, 2026 | Robur Siena(home) | 3-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| May 3, 2026 | Montevarchi Calcio(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Sporting Trestina(away) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Grosseto(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Seravezza(home) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone E |
| May 3, 2026 | Gavorrano(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Terranuova Traiana(home) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Poggibonsi(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Cannara(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone E |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Prato win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Tau Altopascio win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2026 | Prato 2-2 Tau Altopascio | Serie D - Girone E |
| Sep 24, 2025 | Tau Altopascio 3-2 Prato | Serie D - Girone E |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Prato 0-2 Tau Altopascio | Serie D - Girone D |
| Nov 17, 2024 | Tau Altopascio 1-0 Prato | Serie D - Girone D |
Last archived meeting: Prato vs Tau Altopascio on Jan 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Prato score 1.6 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Tau Altopascio score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prato | 1.6 | 0.6 | 10 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Tau Altopascio | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Prato sit 2nd in Serie D - Girone E (63 points from 34 matches) and Tau Altopascio sit 3rd (63 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Prato | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 49 | 29 | 63 |
| 3 | Tau Altopascio | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 53 | 33 | 63 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Prato vs Tau Altopascio?
- The Footlab model makes Prato the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Tau Altopascio.
- Where and when is Prato vs Tau Altopascio played?
- Prato vs Tau Altopascio is played on November 15, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Lungobisenzio, in the Serie D - Girone E.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 15, 2026GavorranovsLucchese
- Nov 15, 2026Ghivizzano Borgo MozzanovsTernana
- Nov 15, 2026MezzolaravsScandicci
- Nov 15, 2026Sasso Marconi ZolavsRondinella
- Nov 15, 2026FlaminiavsMontevarchi Calcio
- Nov 15, 2026GrassinavsSeravezza
- Nov 15, 2026San Donato TavarnellevsRobur Siena
- Nov 15, 2026Terranuova TraianavsProgresso