Match

Prato vs Tau Altopascio: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone EGroup E - 12Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Lungobisenzio, Prato

PratoTau Altopascio

The Footlab model makes Prato the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Tau Altopascio. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Prato vs Tau Altopascio?

A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Prato (1,787) and Tau Altopascio (1,770).

Prato win49 %
Draw27 %
Tau Altopascio win24 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Prato have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Tau Altopascio have 5, 5 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Prato
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 17, 2026Seravezza(home)1-2Serie D - Girone E
May 10, 2026Robur Siena(home)3-1Serie D - Girone E
May 3, 2026Montevarchi Calcio(home)1-0Serie D - Girone E
Apr 26, 2026Sporting Trestina(away)2-0Serie D - Girone E
Apr 19, 2026Grosseto(home)1-0Serie D - Girone E
Tau Altopascio
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Seravezza(home)0-2Serie D - Girone E
May 3, 2026Gavorrano(away)2-1Serie D - Girone E
Apr 26, 2026Terranuova Traiana(home)3-2Serie D - Girone E
Apr 19, 2026Poggibonsi(away)0-0Serie D - Girone E
Apr 12, 2026Cannara(home)1-0Serie D - Girone E

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Prato win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Tau Altopascio win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 25, 2026Prato 2-2 Tau AltopascioSerie D - Girone E
Sep 24, 2025Tau Altopascio 3-2 PratoSerie D - Girone E
Mar 30, 2025Prato 0-2 Tau AltopascioSerie D - Girone D
Nov 17, 2024Tau Altopascio 1-0 PratoSerie D - Girone D

Last archived meeting: Prato vs Tau Altopascio on Jan 25, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Prato score 1.6 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Tau Altopascio score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Prato1.60.6105/156/15
Tau Altopascio1.31.338/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Prato sit 2nd in Serie D - Girone E (63 points from 34 matches) and Tau Altopascio sit 3rd (63 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Prato342059492963
3Tau Altopascio341897533363

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Prato vs Tau Altopascio?
The Footlab model makes Prato the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for Tau Altopascio.
Where and when is Prato vs Tau Altopascio played?
Prato vs Tau Altopascio is played on November 15, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Lungobisenzio, in the Serie D - Girone E.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Prato and Tau Altopascio

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