Match

Osaka vs Fukushima United: prediction and stats

J3 LeagueRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Hanazono Rugby Stadium, Higashiosaka

OsakaFukushima United

The Footlab model makes Osaka the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Fukushima United. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Osaka vs Fukushima United?

A very open match: only 43 Elo points separate Osaka (1,714) and Fukushima United (1,671).

Osaka win47 %
Draw24 %
Fukushima United win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Osaka have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Fukushima United have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Osaka
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026FC Ryukyu(home)2-2J3 League
Aug 19, 2026Nara Club(away)4-1Emperor Cup
Aug 16, 2026Parceiro Nagano(home)4-2J3 League
Aug 8, 2026Gainare Tottori(away)1-1J3 League
Jul 19, 2026Avispa Fukuoka(away)2-3Friendlies Clubs
Fukushima United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Gainare Tottori(away)1-2J3 League
Aug 19, 2026Oyama(home)7-0Emperor Cup
Aug 15, 2026Kanazawa(away)3-4J3 League
Aug 9, 2026Kamatamare Sanuki(home)1-2J3 League
Jun 7, 2026FC Ryukyu(home)1-1J2/J3 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Osaka win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Fukushima United win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Nov 2, 2025Fukushima United 0-1 OsakaJ3 League
Jun 22, 2025Osaka 7-1 Fukushima UnitedJ3 League
Sep 23, 2024Osaka 1-2 Fukushima UnitedJ3 League
Jun 23, 2024Fukushima United 2-0 OsakaJ3 League
Nov 5, 2023Osaka 1-0 Fukushima UnitedJ3 League
Jun 11, 2023Fukushima United 0-1 OsakaJ3 League

Last archived meeting: Fukushima United vs Osaka on Nov 2, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Osaka score 1.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Fukushima United score 1.9 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Osaka1.51.4111/158/15
Fukushima United1.91.8211/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Osaka sit 7th in J3 League (5 points from 3 matches) and Fukushima United sit 19th (0 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Osaka3120755
19Fukushima United3003580

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Osaka vs Fukushima United?
The Footlab model makes Osaka the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Fukushima United.
Where and when is Osaka vs Fukushima United played?
Osaka vs Fukushima United is played on September 19, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Hanazono Rugby Stadium, in the J3 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Osaka and Fukushima United

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