Osaka vs Fukushima United: prediction and stats
J3 LeagueRegular Season - 7Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Hanazono Rugby Stadium, Higashiosaka
The Footlab model makes Osaka the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Fukushima United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Osaka vs Fukushima United?
A very open match: only 43 Elo points separate Osaka (1,714) and Fukushima United (1,671).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Osaka have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Fukushima United have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | FC Ryukyu(home) | 2-2 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Nara Club(away) | 4-1 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Parceiro Nagano(home) | 4-2 | J3 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gainare Tottori(away) | 1-1 | J3 League |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Avispa Fukuoka(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Gainare Tottori(away) | 1-2 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Oyama(home) | 7-0 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kanazawa(away) | 3-4 | J3 League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Kamatamare Sanuki(home) | 1-2 | J3 League |
| Jun 7, 2026 | FC Ryukyu(home) | 1-1 | J2/J3 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Osaka win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Fukushima United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2025 | Fukushima United 0-1 Osaka | J3 League |
| Jun 22, 2025 | Osaka 7-1 Fukushima United | J3 League |
| Sep 23, 2024 | Osaka 1-2 Fukushima United | J3 League |
| Jun 23, 2024 | Fukushima United 2-0 Osaka | J3 League |
| Nov 5, 2023 | Osaka 1-0 Fukushima United | J3 League |
| Jun 11, 2023 | Fukushima United 0-1 Osaka | J3 League |
Last archived meeting: Fukushima United vs Osaka on Nov 2, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Osaka score 1.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Fukushima United score 1.9 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Osaka | 1.5 | 1.4 | 1 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| Fukushima United | 1.9 | 1.8 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Osaka sit 7th in J3 League (5 points from 3 matches) and Fukushima United sit 19th (0 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Osaka | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 5 |
| 19 | Fukushima United | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Osaka vs Fukushima United?
- The Footlab model makes Osaka the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 28% for Fukushima United.
- Where and when is Osaka vs Fukushima United played?
- Osaka vs Fukushima United is played on September 19, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Hanazono Rugby Stadium, in the J3 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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