Nara Club vs Thespakusatsu Gunma: prediction and stats
J3 LeagueRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 3, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Konoike Athletic Stadium, Nara, Nara Prefecture
The Footlab model makes Nara Club the favourite at 54%, against 20% for a draw and 26% for Thespakusatsu Gunma. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nara Club vs Thespakusatsu Gunma?
A very open match: only 1 Elo points separate Nara Club (1,664) and Thespakusatsu Gunma (1,663).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nara Club have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Thespakusatsu Gunma have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Renofa Yamaguchi(home) | 3-1 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Osaka(home) | 1-4 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Kagoshima United(home) | 1-3 | J3 League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Ehime FC(away) | 1-4 | J3 League |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Matsumoto Yamaga(away) | 2-0 | J2/J3 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Tokyo Verdy(away) | 1-4 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Biwako Shiga(home) | 2-3 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Tohoku Gakuin University(away) | 3-1 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sagamihara(home) | 1-4 | J3 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kagoshima United(away) | 0-1 | J3 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Nara Club win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Thespakusatsu Gunma win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2025 | Thespakusatsu Gunma 2-0 Nara Club | J3 League |
| Mar 23, 2025 | Nara Club 3-1 Thespakusatsu Gunma | J3 League |
Last archived meeting: Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Nara Club on Oct 25, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Nara Club score 1.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Thespakusatsu Gunma score 1.7 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 76% probability of over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nara Club | 1.7 | 1.9 | 2 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
| Thespakusatsu Gunma | 1.7 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nara Club sit 14th in J3 League (3 points from 3 matches) and Thespakusatsu Gunma sit 20th (0 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Nara Club | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 3 |
| 20 | Thespakusatsu Gunma | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nara Club vs Thespakusatsu Gunma?
- The Footlab model makes Nara Club the favourite at 54%, against 20% for a draw and 26% for Thespakusatsu Gunma.
- Where and when is Nara Club vs Thespakusatsu Gunma played?
- Nara Club vs Thespakusatsu Gunma is played on November 3, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Konoike Athletic Stadium, in the J3 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 76% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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