Tigres UANL vs Toluca: result 1-1 and analysis
Liga MXClausura - Semi-finalsKick-off on May 15, 2025 at 03:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Universitario de Nuevo León, San Nicolás de los Garza
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What was the result of Tigres UANL vs Toluca?
Tigres UANL and Toluca drew 1-1 on May 15, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 19′N. IbáñezTigres UANL
- 45′PaulinhoToluca
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tigres UANL have 6 wins, 7 draws and 2 defeats; Toluca have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 12, 2025 | Necaxa(home) | 2-2 | Liga MX |
| May 9, 2025 | Necaxa(away) | 0-0 | Liga MX |
| May 2, 2025 | Cruz Azul(away) | 0-1 | CONCACAF Champions League |
| Apr 24, 2025 | Cruz Azul(home) | 1-1 | CONCACAF Champions League |
| Apr 20, 2025 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas(home) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2025 | Monterrey(home) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
| May 8, 2025 | Monterrey(away) | 2-3 | Liga MX |
| Apr 20, 2025 | Cruz Azul(home) | 2-2 | Liga MX |
| Apr 17, 2025 | Atletico San Luis(away) | 1-0 | Liga MX |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Atlas(away) | 3-2 | Liga MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Tigres UANL win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Toluca win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2025 | Toluca 1-0 Tigres UANL | Liga MX |
| Nov 7, 2024 | Tigres UANL 2-1 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Mar 2, 2024 | Toluca 2-1 Tigres UANL | Liga MX |
| Oct 5, 2023 | Tigres UANL 2-2 Toluca | Liga MX |
| May 14, 2023 | Toluca 3-1 Tigres UANL | Liga MX |
| May 12, 2023 | Tigres UANL 4-1 Toluca | Liga MX |
How many goals should we expect?
Tigres UANL score 1.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Toluca score 2.5 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tigres UANL | 1.2 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Toluca | 2.5 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tigres UANL sit 16th in Liga MX (1 points from 3 matches) and Toluca sit 3rd (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Toluca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Toluca | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 14 | Tigres UANL | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 4 |
| 16 | Tigres UANL | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 1 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy