Kamatamare Sanuki vs Tochigi SC: prediction and stats
J3 LeagueRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Pikara Stadium, Marugame
The Footlab model makes Tochigi SC the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Kamatamare Sanuki. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kamatamare Sanuki vs Tochigi SC?
Tochigi SC starts as the favourite with a 136-point Elo edge (1,729 vs 1,592).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kamatamare Sanuki have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Tochigi SC have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Kochi United(away) | 1-2 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Veroskronos Tsuno(away) | 1-3 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kitakyushu(away) | 0-0 | J3 League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Fukushima United(away) | 2-1 | J3 League |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Parceiro Nagano(home) | 0-0 | J2/J3 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kitakyushu(home) | 2-2 | J3 League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Urayasu(home) | 2-0 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Roasso Kumamoto(away) | 0-0 | J3 League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Kanazawa(home) | 3-2 | J3 League |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Kitakyushu(home) | 2-1 | J2/J3 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Kamatamare Sanuki win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Tochigi SC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 12, 2025 | Kamatamare Sanuki 4-1 Tochigi SC | J3 League |
| May 31, 2025 | Tochigi SC 1-0 Kamatamare Sanuki | J3 League |
| Nov 4, 2018 | Kamatamare Sanuki 1-2 Tochigi SC | J2 League |
| Mar 17, 2018 | Tochigi SC 1-0 Kamatamare Sanuki | J2 League |
| Jul 22, 2015 | Tochigi SC 1-0 Kamatamare Sanuki | J2 League |
| May 17, 2015 | Kamatamare Sanuki 0-0 Tochigi SC | J2 League |
Last archived meeting: Kamatamare Sanuki vs Tochigi SC on Jul 12, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Kamatamare Sanuki score 0.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Tochigi SC score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kamatamare Sanuki | 0.9 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Tochigi SC | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kamatamare Sanuki sit 9th in J3 League (4 points from 3 matches) and Tochigi SC sit 8th (5 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Tochigi SC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 5 |
| 9 | Kamatamare Sanuki | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kamatamare Sanuki vs Tochigi SC?
- The Footlab model makes Tochigi SC the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Kamatamare Sanuki.
- Where and when is Kamatamare Sanuki vs Tochigi SC played?
- Kamatamare Sanuki vs Tochigi SC is played on October 3, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Pikara Stadium, in the J3 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.