Where and when is Parceiro Nagano vs Tochigi SC played?

Parceiro Nagano vs Tochigi SC is played on September 12, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Minami Nagano Sports Park Stadium, in the J3 League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Parceiro Nagano vs Tochigi SC: prediction and stats

J3 LeagueRegular Season - 6Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Minami Nagano Sports Park Stadium, Nagano

Parceiro Nagano

Tochigi SC

The Footlab model makes Tochigi SC the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Parceiro Nagano. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Parceiro Nagano vs Tochigi SC?

Tochigi SC starts as the favourite with a 132-point Elo edge (1,727 vs 1,595).

Parceiro Nagano win24 %

Draw28 %

Tochigi SC win48 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Parceiro Nagano have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Tochigi SC have 4, 7 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Parceiro Nagano
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Roasso Kumamoto(away)	1-0	J3 League
Aug 19, 2026	Fukui United(home)	2-1	Emperor Cup
Aug 16, 2026	Osaka(away)	2-4	J3 League
Aug 8, 2026	Renofa Yamaguchi(home)	1-0	J3 League
Jun 5, 2026	Kamatamare Sanuki(away)	0-0	J2/J3 League

Tochigi SC
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Kitakyushu(home)	2-2	J3 League
Aug 19, 2026	Urayasu(home)	2-0	Emperor Cup
Aug 15, 2026	Roasso Kumamoto(away)	0-0	J3 League
Aug 9, 2026	Kanazawa(home)	3-2	J3 League
Jun 7, 2026	Kitakyushu(home)	2-1	J2/J3 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Parceiro Nagano win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Tochigi SC win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 31, 2026	Tochigi SC 0-0 Parceiro Nagano	J2/J3 League
Nov 29, 2025	Parceiro Nagano 0-4 Tochigi SC	J3 League
May 6, 2025	Tochigi SC 1-0 Parceiro Nagano	J3 League
Nov 26, 2017	Tochigi SC 0-0 Parceiro Nagano	J3 League
Jul 15, 2017	Parceiro Nagano 0-0 Tochigi SC	J3 League
Nov 13, 2016	Tochigi SC 0-1 Parceiro Nagano	J3 League

Last archived meeting: Tochigi SC vs Parceiro Nagano on May 31, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Parceiro Nagano score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Tochigi SC score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Parceiro Nagano	0.9	1.1	7	6/15	5/15
Tochigi SC	1.3	1.1	5	8/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Parceiro Nagano sit 5th in J3 League (6 points from 3 matches) and Tochigi SC sit 8th (5 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	Parceiro Nagano	3	2	0	1	4	4	6
8	Tochigi SC	3	1	2	0	5	4	5

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Parceiro Nagano vs Tochigi SC?: The Footlab model makes Tochigi SC the favourite at 48%, against 28% for a draw and 24% for Parceiro Nagano.
Where and when is Parceiro Nagano vs Tochigi SC played?: Parceiro Nagano vs Tochigi SC is played on September 12, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Minami Nagano Sports Park Stadium, in the J3 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.