TOGB vs FC Lisse: prediction and stats
Derde DivisieRegular Season - 22Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Sportpark Het Hoge Land Veld 1 Berkel, Berkel en Rodenrijs
The Footlab model makes FC Lisse the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for TOGB. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win TOGB vs FC Lisse?
FC Lisse starts as the favourite with a 138-point Elo edge (1,848 vs 1,710).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, TOGB have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; FC Lisse have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Poortugaal(home) | 1-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Aug 16, 2026 | UNA(away) | 1-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FC Lisse(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | Noordwijk(away) | 2-1 | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| May 16, 2026 | Groene Ster(home) | 5-1 | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Roosendaal(away) | 1-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Aalsmeer(home) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Achilles Veen(home) | 4-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Aug 8, 2026 | TOGB(home) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 30, 2026 | ADO '20(home) | 0-1 | Tweede Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 0 TOGB win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 FC Lisse win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | FC Lisse 4-0 TOGB | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 21, 2026 | TOGB 1-2 FC Lisse | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| Sep 20, 2025 | FC Lisse 6-2 TOGB | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| Jan 11, 2025 | TOGB 1-1 FC Lisse | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| Aug 17, 2024 | FC Lisse 1-1 TOGB | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
How many goals should we expect?
TOGB score 1.5 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; FC Lisse score 1.9 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOGB | 1.5 | 1.6 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| FC Lisse | 1.9 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
TOGB sit 13th in Derde Divisie (1 points from 2 matches) and FC Lisse sit 3rd (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | FC Lisse | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| 13 | TOGB | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for TOGB vs FC Lisse?
- The Footlab model makes FC Lisse the favourite at 52%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for TOGB.
- Where and when is TOGB vs FC Lisse played?
- TOGB vs FC Lisse is played on February 13, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Het Hoge Land Veld 1 Berkel, in the Derde Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.