TOGB vs GOES: prediction and stats
Derde DivisieRegular Season - 33Kick-off on May 15, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark Het Hoge Land Veld 1 Berkel, Berkel en Rodenrijs
The Footlab AI model makes TOGB the favourite at 42%, against 22% for a draw and 36% for GOES. The most likely score is 1-1. If TOGB wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,403 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win TOGB vs GOES?
A very open match: only 71 Elo points separate TOGB (1,683) and GOES (1,612).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for TOGB vs GOES
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
TOGB
4-3-3- 7M. Le Fevre
- 9A. Bensalah
- 19M. El Yakoubi
- 21T. Azaroiali
- 6J. Zandbergen
- 8L. Zwarteveld
- 3G. Zandbergen
- 5M. van der Elst
- 13F. Eijgenraam
- 15J. Weegman
- 1M. Zwartveld
GOES
4-3-3- 22Sjoerd Verhulst
- 11R. Traas
- HH. van Hecke
- 10Tim de Winter
- 8Steven Smulder
- 12J. Noah
- 4R. James
- 20Renzo Roemeratoe
- 2D. van Dijk
- 2J. Klap
- 23T. Huberts
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 06:11 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, TOGB have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; GOES have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Excelsior Maassluis(away) | 2-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Roosendaal(home) | 4-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Achilles Veen(away) | 1-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 23, 2026 | ROHDA Raalte(home) | 4-6 | KNVB Beker |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Noordwijk(home) | 0-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Groene Ster(away) | 1-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 4, 2026 | UDI '19(home) | 0-4 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Poortugaal(away) | 3-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 20, 2026 | UNA(home) | 2-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Dongen(away) | 3-2 | Derde Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 TOGB wins, 2 draws, 2 GOES wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | TOGB 1-1 GOES | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| Oct 19, 2025 | GOES 1-0 TOGB | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| Mar 2, 2025 | GOES 2-1 TOGB | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| Sep 21, 2024 | TOGB 2-2 GOES | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
How many goals should we expect?
TOGB score 2.0 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; GOES score 1.9 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOGB | 2.0 | 2.3 | 2 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| GOES | 1.9 | 1.9 | 2 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
TOGB sit 15th in Derde Divisie (8 points from 9 matches) and GOES sit 7th (14 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | GOES | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 19 | 14 |
| 15 | TOGB | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 21 | 8 |
A question about TOGB vs GOES?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for TOGB vs GOES?
- The Footlab AI model makes TOGB the favourite at 42%, against 22% for a draw and 36% for GOES.
- Where and when is TOGB vs GOES played?
- TOGB vs GOES is played on May 15, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Het Hoge Land Veld 1 Berkel, in the Derde Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.