UNA vs Zwaluwen: prediction and stats
Derde DivisieRegular Season - 19Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Sportpark Zeelst, Veldhoven
The Footlab AI model makes Zwaluwen the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for UNA. The most likely score is 1-1. If Zwaluwen wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,460 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win UNA vs Zwaluwen?
Zwaluwen starts as the favourite with a 119-point Elo edge (1,758 vs 1,639).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for UNA vs Zwaluwen
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
UNA
4-3-3- 20J. Respen
- 10B. Boogers
- 17S. Simmons
- 5B. Boulghalgh
- 8J. Wielinga
- 7A. Smeins
- 12R. Boudewijns
- 27D. Zwartjes
- 2T. Scheepers
- 4Y. Sijbers
- 1P. Stošković
Zwaluwen
4-3-3- 9J. van Mullem
- 8Robin Hofman
- 17Ricardo Merrelaar
- 13Jesper Gudde
- 2Mario Nijgh
- 10Jerry Scholman
- 16D. van Rijn
- 4Vincent van Dorp
- 3L. Krznaric
- 6Erwin de Groot
- 23Marvin van Tienen
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 05:15 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, UNA have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Zwaluwen have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Poortugaal(away) | 0-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Blauw Geel(away) | 1-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Dongen(home) | 2-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 20, 2026 | GOES(away) | 1-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Rijnvogels(home) | 1-4 | Derde Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Roosendaal(away) | 4-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Achilles Veen(home) | 1-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Noordwijk(away) | 2-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Purmersteijn(home) | 0-1 | KNVB Beker |
| Sep 19, 2026 | FC Lisse(home) | 1-0 | Derde Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 UNA wins, 1 draw, 2 Zwaluwen wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Zwaluwen 1-1 UNA | Derde Divisie |
| Feb 28, 2026 | UNA 0-2 Zwaluwen | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Zwaluwen 4-2 UNA | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
How many goals should we expect?
UNA score 1.4 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Zwaluwen score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNA | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1 | 12/15 | 8/15 |
| Zwaluwen | 1.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
UNA sit 14th in Derde Divisie (8 points from 9 matches) and Zwaluwen sit 6th (16 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Zwaluwen | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 16 |
| 14 | UNA | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 14 | 8 |
A question about UNA vs Zwaluwen?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for UNA vs Zwaluwen?
- The Footlab AI model makes Zwaluwen the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for UNA.
- Where and when is UNA vs Zwaluwen played?
- UNA vs Zwaluwen is played on January 16, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Zeelst, in the Derde Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.