Yokohama FC vs Sagan Tosu: prediction and stats
J2 LeagueRegular Season - 4Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)NHK Spring Mitsuzawa Football Stadium, Yokohama
The Footlab model makes Yokohama FC the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Sagan Tosu. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Yokohama FC vs Sagan Tosu?
A very open match: only 59 Elo points separate Yokohama FC (1,885) and Sagan Tosu (1,826).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Yokohama FC have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Sagan Tosu have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Criacao Shinjuku(home) | 3-1 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Montedio Yamagata(away) | 0-2 | J2 League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Jubilo Iwata(home) | 3-1 | J2 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki(away) | 1-0 | J2 League |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Kitakyushu(home) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Kataller Toyama(home) | 4-0 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Tochigi City(home) | 1-3 | J2 League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Tokushima Vortis(away) | 0-0 | J2 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ventforet Kofu(home) | 2-0 | J2 League |
| Jul 20, 2026 | Verspah Oita(home) | 7-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Yokohama FC win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Sagan Tosu win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 10, 2024 | Sagan Tosu 3-1 Yokohama FC | Emperor Cup |
| Nov 11, 2023 | Sagan Tosu 1-3 Yokohama FC | J1 League |
| Jun 3, 2023 | Yokohama FC 1-2 Sagan Tosu | J1 League |
| Nov 3, 2021 | Yokohama FC 0-0 Sagan Tosu | J1 League |
| Apr 11, 2021 | Sagan Tosu 3-0 Yokohama FC | J1 League |
| Dec 5, 2020 | Yokohama FC 1-1 Sagan Tosu | J1 League |
Last archived meeting: Sagan Tosu vs Yokohama FC on Jul 10, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Yokohama FC score 2.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Sagan Tosu score 2.0 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yokohama FC | 2.1 | 1.2 | 4 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Sagan Tosu | 2.0 | 0.8 | 8 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Yokohama FC sit 4th in J2 League (29 points from 18 matches) and Sagan Tosu sit 10th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Sagan Tosu | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 24 | 14 | 32 |
| 4 | Yokohama FC | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 34 | 27 | 29 |
| 7 | Yokohama FC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
| 10 | Sagan Tosu | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Yokohama FC vs Sagan Tosu?
- The Footlab model makes Yokohama FC the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Sagan Tosu.
- Where and when is Yokohama FC vs Sagan Tosu played?
- Yokohama FC vs Sagan Tosu is played on August 29, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at NHK Spring Mitsuzawa Football Stadium, in the J2 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 29, 2026IwakivsAlbirex Niigata
- Aug 29, 2026Tochigi CityvsJubilo Iwata
- Aug 29, 2026Vanraure HachinohevsBlaublitz Akita
- Aug 29, 2026Kataller ToyamavsFujieda MYFC
- Aug 29, 2026Vegalta SendaivsTegevajaro Miyazaki
- Aug 29, 2026ImabarivsMontedio Yamagata
- Aug 29, 2026Tokushima VortisvsOita Trinita
- Aug 29, 2026Ventforet KofuvsConsadole Sapporo