Match

Yokohama FC vs Sagan Tosu: prediction and stats

J2 LeagueRegular Season - 4Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)NHK Spring Mitsuzawa Football Stadium, Yokohama

Yokohama FCSagan Tosu

The Footlab model makes Yokohama FC the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Sagan Tosu. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Yokohama FC vs Sagan Tosu?

A very open match: only 59 Elo points separate Yokohama FC (1,885) and Sagan Tosu (1,826).

Yokohama FC win42 %
Draw27 %
Sagan Tosu win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Yokohama FC have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Sagan Tosu have 8, 5 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Yokohama FC
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 26, 2026Criacao Shinjuku(home)3-1Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026Montedio Yamagata(away)0-2J2 League
Aug 16, 2026Jubilo Iwata(home)3-1J2 League
Aug 8, 2026Tegevajaro Miyazaki(away)1-0J2 League
Jul 18, 2026Kitakyushu(home)3-2Friendlies Clubs
Sagan Tosu
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 26, 2026Kataller Toyama(home)4-0Emperor Cup
Aug 22, 2026Tochigi City(home)1-3J2 League
Aug 16, 2026Tokushima Vortis(away)0-0J2 League
Aug 8, 2026Ventforet Kofu(home)2-0J2 League
Jul 20, 2026Verspah Oita(home)7-1Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Yokohama FC win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Sagan Tosu win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jul 10, 2024Sagan Tosu 3-1 Yokohama FCEmperor Cup
Nov 11, 2023Sagan Tosu 1-3 Yokohama FCJ1 League
Jun 3, 2023Yokohama FC 1-2 Sagan TosuJ1 League
Nov 3, 2021Yokohama FC 0-0 Sagan TosuJ1 League
Apr 11, 2021Sagan Tosu 3-0 Yokohama FCJ1 League
Dec 5, 2020Yokohama FC 1-1 Sagan TosuJ1 League

Last archived meeting: Sagan Tosu vs Yokohama FC on Jul 10, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Yokohama FC score 2.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Sagan Tosu score 2.0 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Yokohama FC2.11.2410/1511/15
Sagan Tosu2.00.887/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Yokohama FC sit 4th in J2 League (29 points from 18 matches) and Sagan Tosu sit 10th (4 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Sagan Tosu18864241432
4Yokohama FC18837342729
7Yokohama FC3201436
10Sagan Tosu3111334

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Yokohama FC vs Sagan Tosu?
The Footlab model makes Yokohama FC the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Sagan Tosu.
Where and when is Yokohama FC vs Sagan Tosu played?
Yokohama FC vs Sagan Tosu is played on August 29, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at NHK Spring Mitsuzawa Football Stadium, in the J2 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Yokohama FC and Sagan Tosu

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