Match

Tokyo Verdy vs Gamba Osaka: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 29Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Ajinomoto Stadium, Chōfu

Tokyo VerdyGamba Osaka

The Footlab AI model makes Gamba Osaka the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Tokyo Verdy. The most likely score is 1-1. If Gamba Osaka wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 5,241 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 10, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Tokyo Verdy vs Gamba Osaka?

Gamba Osaka starts as the favourite with a 104-point Elo edge (2,025 vs 1,921).

26%25%49%
Tokyo Verdy winDrawGamba Osaka win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Tokyo Verdy vs Gamba Osaka

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Tokyo Verdy

4-4-2
  1. 33K. Ichimi
  2. 9I. Someno
  1. 40Y. Arai
  2. 19K. Fujimoto
  3. 16R. Hirakawa
  4. 8K. Saito
  1. 4N. Hayashi
  2. 18S. Mizoguchi
  3. 96Cho Yu-Min
  4. 22Y. Uchida
  1. 1Matheus Vidotto

Gamba Osaka

4-2-3-1
  1. 11I. Jebali
  1. 17R. Yamashita
  2. 13S. Abe
  3. 7T. Usami
  4. 16T. Suzuki
  5. 39K. Sumi
  1. 2S. Fukuoka
  2. 4S. Nakatani
  3. 15T. Kishimoto
  4. 21R. Hatsuse
  1. 1M. Higashiguchi

Computed on November 10, 2026 at 11:50 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tokyo Verdy have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Gamba Osaka have 4, 5 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Tokyo Verdy
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2026Shimizu S-pulse(away)1-0J1 League
Nov 1, 2026V-varen Nagasaki(away)2-1J1 League
Oct 24, 2026Avispa Fukuoka(home)3-1J1 League
Oct 21, 2026Yokohama F. Marinos(away)2-2J1 League
Oct 17, 2026FC Tokyo(home)0-4J1 League
Gamba Osaka
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026Cerezo Osaka(home)2-3J1 League
Nov 4, 2026Pohang Steelers(away)3-3AFC Champions League Elite
Nov 1, 2026Machida Zelvia(away)0-0J1 League
Oct 28, 2026Buriram United(home)1-1AFC Champions League Elite
Oct 24, 2026Kyoto Sanga(home)2-2J1 League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Tokyo Verdy wins, 3 draws, 3 Gamba Osaka wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Jun 6, 2026Tokyo Verdy 2-4 Gamba OsakaJ1 League
May 30, 2026Gamba Osaka 1-1 Tokyo VerdyJ1 League
Dec 6, 2025Gamba Osaka 4-1 Tokyo VerdyJ1 League
Mar 2, 2025Tokyo Verdy 0-1 Gamba OsakaJ1 League
Sep 28, 2024Gamba Osaka 1-1 Tokyo VerdyJ1 League
May 15, 2024Tokyo Verdy 0-0 Gamba OsakaJ1 League

Last archived meeting: Tokyo Verdy vs Gamba Osaka on Jun 6, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Tokyo Verdy score 1.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Gamba Osaka score 1.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Tokyo Verdy1.11.447/157/15
Gamba Osaka1.91.729/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Tokyo Verdy sit 14th in J1 League (14 points from 14 matches) and Gamba Osaka sit 18th (12 points from 14 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
14Tokyo Verdy14356122214
18Gamba Osaka14266162412

A question about Tokyo Verdy vs Gamba Osaka?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Tokyo Verdy vs Gamba Osaka?
The Footlab AI model makes Gamba Osaka the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Tokyo Verdy.
Where and when is Tokyo Verdy vs Gamba Osaka played?
Tokyo Verdy vs Gamba Osaka is played on April 10, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Ajinomoto Stadium, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Tokyo Verdy and Gamba Osaka

Ready to know everything about football?