Kawasaki Frontale vs Tokyo Verdy: prediction and stats
J1 LeagueRegular Season - 30Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Uvance Todoroki Stadium by Fujitsu, Kawasaki
The Footlab model makes Kawasaki Frontale the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Tokyo Verdy. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kawasaki Frontale vs Tokyo Verdy?
A very open match: only 89 Elo points separate Kawasaki Frontale (1,961) and Tokyo Verdy (1,872).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kawasaki Frontale have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Tokyo Verdy have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Tochigi SC(home) | 3-1 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima(away) | 1-1 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kyoto Sanga(home) | 2-2 | J1 League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Tokyo Verdy(away) | 1-1 | J1 League |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Vanraure Hachinohe(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Thespakusatsu Gunma(home) | 4-1 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Fagiano Okayama(away) | 0-0 | J1 League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Kashiwa Reysol(home) | 1-3 | J1 League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Kawasaki Frontale(home) | 1-1 | J1 League |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Gamba Osaka(home) | 2-4 | J1 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Kawasaki Frontale win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Tokyo Verdy win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2026 | Tokyo Verdy 1-1 Kawasaki Frontale | J1 League |
| May 6, 2026 | Kawasaki Frontale 1-0 Tokyo Verdy | J1 League |
| Mar 18, 2026 | Tokyo Verdy 0-2 Kawasaki Frontale | J1 League |
| Jun 29, 2025 | Tokyo Verdy 1-0 Kawasaki Frontale | J1 League |
| Apr 20, 2025 | Kawasaki Frontale 0-0 Tokyo Verdy | J1 League |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Tokyo Verdy 4-5 Kawasaki Frontale | J1 League |
Last archived meeting: Tokyo Verdy vs Kawasaki Frontale on Aug 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kawasaki Frontale score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Tokyo Verdy score 1.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kawasaki Frontale | 1.1 | 1.1 | 2 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Tokyo Verdy | 1.1 | 1.4 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kawasaki Frontale sit 14th in J1 League (3 points from 3 matches) and Tokyo Verdy sit 17th (2 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 17 | Tokyo Verdy | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kawasaki Frontale vs Tokyo Verdy?
- The Footlab model makes Kawasaki Frontale the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Tokyo Verdy.
- Where and when is Kawasaki Frontale vs Tokyo Verdy played?
- Kawasaki Frontale vs Tokyo Verdy is played on April 17, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Uvance Todoroki Stadium by Fujitsu, in the J1 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 16, 2027Sanfrecce HiroshimavsFC Tokyo
- Apr 17, 2027Shimizu S-pulsevsNagoya Grampus
- Apr 17, 2027V-varen NagasakivsVissel Kobe
- Apr 17, 2027Cerezo OsakavsKashima
- Apr 17, 2027Gamba OsakavsJEF United Chiba
- Apr 17, 2027Yokohama F. MarinosvsKashiwa Reysol
- Apr 17, 2027Mito HollyhockvsKyoto Sanga
- Apr 17, 2027Fagiano OkayamavsUrawa