Toluca vs CF Pachuca: result 2-2 and analysis
Liga MXApertura - 15Kick-off on October 27, 2025 at 01:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Nemesio Díez, Toluca de Lerdo
Full time
What was the result of Toluca vs CF Pachuca?
Toluca and CF Pachuca drew 2-2 on October 27, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 10′J. GallardoToluca
- 25′PaulinhoToluca
- 45′E. ValenciaCF Pachuca
- 54′E. ValenciaCF Pachuca (pen.)
Official lineup for Toluca vs CF Pachuca
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Toluca
4-2-3-1- 26Paulinho
- 8N. Castro
- 9A. Vega
- 10J. Angulo
- 14M. Ruiz
- 5F. Romero
- 20J. Gallardo
- 6F. Pereira
- 4B. Méndez
- 19S. Simón
- 22L. García
CF Pachuca
4-2-3-1- 10E. Valencia
- 32G. Togni
- 8V. Guzmán
- 23L. Quiñones
- 41William Carvalho
- 26Alán Ernesto Bautista Gutiérrez
- 3A. Aceves
- 13J. Berlanga
- 2S. Barreto
- 12B. García
- 25C. Moreno
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Toluca have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeat; CF Pachuca have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2025 | Club Tijuana(away) | 0-0 | Liga MX |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Club Queretaro(home) | 4-0 | Liga MX |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Leon(away) | 4-2 | Liga MX |
| Oct 2, 2025 | Los Angeles Galaxy(away) | 3-2 | Campeones Cup |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Mazatlán(home) | 3-1 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2025 | Tigres UANL(home) | 1-2 | Liga MX |
| Oct 18, 2025 | FC Juarez(away) | 2-2 | Liga MX |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Necaxa(away) | 1-0 | Liga MX |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Atletico San Luis(home) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
| Sep 24, 2025 | Puebla(away) | 2-2 | Liga MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Toluca wins, 1 draw, 1 CF Pachuca win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2025 | Toluca 3-2 CF Pachuca | Liga MX |
| Sep 18, 2024 | CF Pachuca 2-2 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Mar 31, 2024 | CF Pachuca 2-3 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Sep 3, 2023 | Toluca 5-0 CF Pachuca | Liga MX |
| Feb 20, 2023 | CF Pachuca 1-2 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Oct 31, 2022 | CF Pachuca 3-1 Toluca | Liga MX |
How many goals should we expect?
Toluca score 2.4 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; CF Pachuca score 1.3 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toluca | 2.4 | 0.9 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| CF Pachuca | 1.3 | 1.4 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Toluca sit 2nd in Liga MX (20 points from 11 matches) and CF Pachuca sit 11th (13 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Toluca | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 15 | 20 |
| 11 | CF Pachuca | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 13 |
A question about Toluca vs CF Pachuca?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy