Toluca vs CF Pachuca: result 2-2 and analysis
Liga MXApertura - 15Kick-off on October 27, 2025 at 01:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Nemesio Díez, Toluca de Lerdo
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What was the result of Toluca vs CF Pachuca?
Toluca and CF Pachuca drew 2-2 on October 27, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 10′J. GallardoToluca
- 25′PaulinhoToluca
- 45′E. ValenciaCF Pachuca
- 54′E. ValenciaCF Pachuca (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Toluca have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats; CF Pachuca have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2025 | Club Tijuana(away) | 0-0 | Liga MX |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Club Queretaro(home) | 4-0 | Liga MX |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Leon(away) | 4-2 | Liga MX |
| Oct 2, 2025 | Los Angeles Galaxy(away) | 3-2 | Campeones Cup |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Mazatlán(home) | 3-1 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2025 | Tigres UANL(home) | 1-2 | Liga MX |
| Oct 18, 2025 | FC Juarez(away) | 2-2 | Liga MX |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Necaxa(away) | 1-0 | Liga MX |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Atletico San Luis(home) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
| Sep 24, 2025 | Puebla(away) | 2-2 | Liga MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Toluca win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 CF Pachuca win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2025 | Toluca 3-2 CF Pachuca | Liga MX |
| Sep 18, 2024 | CF Pachuca 2-2 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Mar 31, 2024 | CF Pachuca 2-3 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Sep 3, 2023 | Toluca 5-0 CF Pachuca | Liga MX |
| Feb 20, 2023 | CF Pachuca 1-2 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Oct 31, 2022 | CF Pachuca 3-1 Toluca | Liga MX |
How many goals should we expect?
Toluca score 2.4 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; CF Pachuca score 1.3 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toluca | 2.4 | 0.9 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| CF Pachuca | 1.3 | 1.4 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Toluca sit 3rd in Liga MX (6 points from 3 matches) and CF Pachuca sit 13th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Toluca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Toluca | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 13 | CF Pachuca | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 15 | CF Pachuca | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy