Toluca vs Monterrey: result 1-1 and analysis
Liga MXClausura - 2Kick-off on January 19, 2025 at 01:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Nemesio Díez, Toluca de Lerdo
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What was the result of Toluca vs Monterrey?
Toluca and Monterrey drew 1-1 on January 19, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 11′HelinhoToluca
- 47′Sergio CanalesMonterrey
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Toluca have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Monterrey have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2025 | Club Tijuana(away) | 4-2 | Liga MX |
| Jan 5, 2025 | Mazatlán(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Club America(home) | 0-2 | Liga MX |
| Nov 28, 2024 | Club America(away) | 0-2 | Liga MX |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Club America(home) | 4-0 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2025 | Puebla(home) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Dec 16, 2024 | Club America(home) | 1-1 | Liga MX |
| Dec 13, 2024 | Club America(away) | 1-2 | Liga MX |
| Dec 8, 2024 | Atletico San Luis(home) | 5-1 | Liga MX |
| Dec 5, 2024 | Atletico San Luis(away) | 1-2 | Liga MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Toluca win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Monterrey win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 1, 2024 | Monterrey 1-2 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Feb 19, 2024 | Monterrey 0-0 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Aug 31, 2023 | Toluca 1-0 Monterrey | Liga MX |
| Feb 6, 2023 | Monterrey 2-1 Toluca | Liga MX |
| Aug 18, 2022 | Toluca 1-1 Monterrey | Liga MX |
| Apr 7, 2022 | Toluca 2-2 Monterrey | Liga MX |
How many goals should we expect?
Toluca score 2.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Monterrey score 1.8 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toluca | 2.3 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Monterrey | 1.8 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Toluca sit 3rd in Liga MX (6 points from 3 matches) and Monterrey sit 5th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Toluca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Toluca | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 10 |
| 5 | Monterrey | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
| 7 | Monterrey | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 9 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy