Tonbridge Angels vs AFC Totton: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 23Kick-off on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Longmead Stadium, Tonbridge, Kent
The Footlab model makes Tonbridge Angels the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for AFC Totton. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tonbridge Angels vs AFC Totton?
A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Tonbridge Angels (1,775) and AFC Totton (1,791).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tonbridge Angels have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; AFC Totton have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Truro City(home) | 0-2 | National League - South |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Dover(away) | 1-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Torquay(home) | 1-2 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Braintree(away) | 4-0 | National League - South |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Eastbourne Borough(home) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Dorking Wanderers(home) | 0-3 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Billericay Town(home) | 1-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Farnham Town(away) | 1-0 | National League - South |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Sutton Utd(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Farnborough(home) | 1-6 | National League - South |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Tonbridge Angels win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 AFC Totton win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | Tonbridge Angels 4-1 AFC Totton | National League - South |
| Aug 16, 2025 | AFC Totton 3-0 Tonbridge Angels | National League - South |
Last archived meeting: Tonbridge Angels vs AFC Totton on Jan 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Tonbridge Angels score 1.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; AFC Totton score 1.2 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tonbridge Angels | 1.7 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| AFC Totton | 1.2 | 1.9 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tonbridge Angels sit 9th in National League - South (6 points from 4 matches) and AFC Totton sit 11th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Tonbridge Angels | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
| 11 | AFC Totton | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tonbridge Angels vs AFC Totton?
- The Footlab model makes Tonbridge Angels the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for AFC Totton.
- Where and when is Tonbridge Angels vs AFC Totton played?
- Tonbridge Angels vs AFC Totton is played on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Longmead Stadium, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 26, 2026Maidstone UtdvsBillericay Town
- Dec 26, 2026Ebbsfleet UnitedvsDagenham & Redbridge
- Dec 26, 2026Slough TownvsMaidenhead
- Dec 26, 2026Chelmsford CityvsBraintree
- Dec 26, 2026Truro CityvsTorquay
- Dec 26, 2026FarnboroughvsFarnham Town
- Dec 26, 2026Folkestone InvictavsDover
- Dec 26, 2026SalisburyvsWeston-super-Mare