Tonbridge Angels vs Maidenhead: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 26Kick-off on January 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Longmead Stadium, Tonbridge, Kent
The Footlab model makes Tonbridge Angels the favourite at 36%, against 28% for a draw and 36% for Maidenhead. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tonbridge Angels vs Maidenhead?
A very open match: only 40 Elo points separate Tonbridge Angels (1,771) and Maidenhead (1,811).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tonbridge Angels have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Maidenhead have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Truro City(home) | 0-2 | National League - South |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Dover(away) | 1-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Torquay(home) | 1-2 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Braintree(away) | 4-0 | National League - South |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Eastbourne Borough(home) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Farnborough(home) | 1-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Hemel Hempstead Town(away) | 1-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dorking Wanderers(home) | 0-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Truro City(away) | 0-2 | National League - South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Brackley Town(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Tonbridge Angels win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Maidenhead win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2026 | Tonbridge Angels 0-1 Maidenhead | National League - South |
| Oct 21, 2025 | Maidenhead 1-1 Tonbridge Angels | National League - South |
Last archived meeting: Tonbridge Angels vs Maidenhead on Feb 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Tonbridge Angels score 1.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Maidenhead score 0.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tonbridge Angels | 1.7 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Maidenhead | 0.9 | 1.2 | 4 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tonbridge Angels sit 9th in National League - South (6 points from 4 matches) and Maidenhead sit 14th (5 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Tonbridge Angels | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
| 14 | Maidenhead | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tonbridge Angels vs Maidenhead?
- The Footlab model makes Tonbridge Angels the favourite at 36%, against 28% for a draw and 36% for Maidenhead.
- Where and when is Tonbridge Angels vs Maidenhead played?
- Tonbridge Angels vs Maidenhead is played on January 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Longmead Stadium, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Jan 9, 2027Ebbsfleet UnitedvsHampton & Richmond
- Jan 9, 2027Slough TownvsTorquay
- Jan 9, 2027Chelmsford CityvsChesham United
- Jan 9, 2027Truro CityvsBraintree
- Jan 9, 2027FarnboroughvsBillericay Town
- Jan 9, 2027Folkestone InvictavsWeston-super-Mare
- Jan 9, 2027SalisburyvsFarnham Town