Match

Tonbridge Angels vs Maidenhead: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 26Kick-off on January 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Longmead Stadium, Tonbridge, Kent

Tonbridge AngelsMaidenhead

The Footlab model makes Tonbridge Angels the favourite at 36%, against 28% for a draw and 36% for Maidenhead. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Tonbridge Angels vs Maidenhead?

A very open match: only 40 Elo points separate Tonbridge Angels (1,771) and Maidenhead (1,811).

Tonbridge Angels win36 %
Draw28 %
Maidenhead win36 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tonbridge Angels have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Maidenhead have 4, 5 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Tonbridge Angels
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Truro City(home)0-2National League - South
Aug 18, 2026Dover(away)1-0National League - South
Aug 15, 2026Torquay(home)1-2National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Braintree(away)4-0National League - South
Jul 28, 2026Eastbourne Borough(home)4-2Friendlies Clubs
Maidenhead
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Farnborough(home)1-1National League - South
Aug 18, 2026Hemel Hempstead Town(away)1-0National League - South
Aug 15, 2026Dorking Wanderers(home)0-0National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Truro City(away)0-2National League - South
Aug 1, 2026Brackley Town(away)0-1Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Tonbridge Angels win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Maidenhead win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 10, 2026Tonbridge Angels 0-1 MaidenheadNational League - South
Oct 21, 2025Maidenhead 1-1 Tonbridge AngelsNational League - South

Last archived meeting: Tonbridge Angels vs Maidenhead on Feb 10, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Tonbridge Angels score 1.7 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Maidenhead score 0.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Tonbridge Angels1.71.248/158/15
Maidenhead0.91.247/154/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Tonbridge Angels sit 9th in National League - South (6 points from 4 matches) and Maidenhead sit 14th (5 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9Tonbridge Angels4202646
14Maidenhead4121235

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Tonbridge Angels vs Maidenhead?
The Footlab model makes Tonbridge Angels the favourite at 36%, against 28% for a draw and 36% for Maidenhead.
Where and when is Tonbridge Angels vs Maidenhead played?
Tonbridge Angels vs Maidenhead is played on January 9, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Longmead Stadium, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Tonbridge Angels and Maidenhead

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