Torquay vs Farnborough: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 25Kick-off on January 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Plainmoor Ground, Torquay, Devon
The Footlab AI model makes Torquay the favourite at 64%, against 20% for a draw and 16% for Farnborough. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,545 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Torquay vs Farnborough?
Torquay starts as the favourite with a 177-point Elo edge (1,876 vs 1,699).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Torquay vs Farnborough
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Torquay
Not enough data to predict the Torquay lineup.
Farnborough
Not enough data to predict the Farnborough lineup.
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 04:26 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Torquay have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Farnborough have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Walton & Hersham(away) | 3-0 | National League - South |
| Oct 27, 2026 | AFC Totton(away) | 0-1 | National League - South |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Maidstone Utd(home) | 1-1 | National League - South |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Oxford City(home) | 0-1 | FA Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Slough Town(home) | 5-1 | National League - South |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026 | Ebbsfleet United(home) | 0-6 | National League - South |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Horsham(home) | 0-5 | National League - South |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Weston-super-Mare(home) | 2-1 | National League - South |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Folkestone Invicta(away) | 0-2 | National League - South |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Dagenham & Redbridge(home) | 2-0 | National League - South |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Torquay wins, 2 draws, 1 Farnborough win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2026 | Torquay 2-2 Farnborough | National League - South |
| Nov 5, 2025 | Farnborough 1-3 Torquay | National League - South |
| Dec 14, 2024 | Torquay 2-0 Farnborough | National League - South |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Farnborough 1-0 Torquay | National League - South |
| Feb 20, 2024 | Farnborough 0-0 Torquay | National League - South |
| Sep 5, 2023 | Torquay 3-0 Farnborough | National League - South |
Last archived meeting: Torquay vs Farnborough on Mar 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Torquay score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Farnborough score 0.8 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Torquay | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Farnborough | 0.8 | 2.1 | 3 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Torquay sit 13th in National League - South (20 points from 14 matches) and Farnborough sit 16th (17 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Torquay | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 17 | 20 |
| 16 | Farnborough | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 31 | 17 |
A question about Torquay vs Farnborough?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Torquay vs Farnborough?
- The Footlab AI model makes Torquay the favourite at 64%, against 20% for a draw and 16% for Farnborough.
- Where and when is Torquay vs Farnborough played?
- Torquay vs Farnborough is played on January 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Plainmoor Ground, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 2, 2027Dagenham & RedbridgevsChelmsford City
- Jan 2, 2027DovervsMaidstone Utd
- Jan 2, 2027BraintreevsEbbsfleet United
- Jan 2, 2027MaidenheadvsSalisbury
- Jan 2, 2027Billericay TownvsFolkestone Invicta
- Jan 2, 2027Hampton & RichmondvsTonbridge Angels
- Jan 2, 2027Weston-super-MarevsSlough Town
- Jan 2, 2027Chesham UnitedvsDorking Wanderers