Match

Torquay vs Farnborough: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 25Kick-off on January 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Plainmoor Ground, Torquay, Devon

TorquayFarnborough

The Footlab model makes Torquay the favourite at 58%, against 21% for a draw and 22% for Farnborough. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Torquay vs Farnborough?

Torquay starts as the favourite with a 100-point Elo edge (1,872 vs 1,772).

Torquay win58 %
Draw21 %
Farnborough win22 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Torquay have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Farnborough have 8, 2 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Torquay
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Dagenham & Redbridge(away)0-2National League - South
Aug 18, 2026Weston-super-Mare(home)0-0National League - South
Aug 15, 2026Tonbridge Angels(away)2-1National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Horsham(home)1-1National League - South
Jul 31, 2026Exeter City(home)2-1Friendlies Clubs
Farnborough
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Maidenhead(away)1-1National League - South
Aug 19, 2026Chesham United(home)1-0National League - South
Aug 15, 2026Hemel Hempstead Town(home)0-2National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Maidstone Utd(away)2-1National League - South
Aug 1, 2026Bath City(home)3-0Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Torquay win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Farnborough win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 3, 2026Torquay 2-2 FarnboroughNational League - South
Nov 5, 2025Farnborough 1-3 TorquayNational League - South
Dec 14, 2024Torquay 2-0 FarnboroughNational League - South
Aug 17, 2024Farnborough 1-0 TorquayNational League - South
Feb 20, 2024Farnborough 0-0 TorquayNational League - South
Sep 5, 2023Torquay 3-0 FarnboroughNational League - South

Last archived meeting: Torquay vs Farnborough on Mar 3, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Torquay score 2.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Farnborough score 1.8 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Torquay2.21.1310/1511/15
Farnborough1.81.4410/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Torquay sit 13th in National League - South (5 points from 4 matches) and Farnborough sit 7th (7 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Farnborough4211447
13Torquay4121345

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Torquay vs Farnborough?
The Footlab model makes Torquay the favourite at 58%, against 21% for a draw and 22% for Farnborough.
Where and when is Torquay vs Farnborough played?
Torquay vs Farnborough is played on January 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Plainmoor Ground, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Torquay and Farnborough

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