Dagenham & Redbridge vs Chelmsford City: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 25Kick-off on January 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Chigwell Construction Stadium, Dagenham, Essex
The Footlab model makes Dagenham & Redbridge the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Chelmsford City. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dagenham & Redbridge vs Chelmsford City?
A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate Dagenham & Redbridge (1,882) and Chelmsford City (1,874).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dagenham & Redbridge have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Chelmsford City have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Torquay(home) | 2-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Walton & Hersham(away) | 2-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Farnham Town(home) | 2-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dorking Wanderers(away) | 1-0 | National League - South |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Boreham Wood(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Folkestone Invicta(away) | 1-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Truro City(home) | 0-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hemel Hempstead Town(away) | 1-1 | National League - South |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Eastbourne Borough(home) | 1-3 | National League - South |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Chesham United(away) | 2-0 | National League - South |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Dagenham & Redbridge win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Chelmsford City win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2026 | Dagenham & Redbridge 3-3 Chelmsford City | National League - South |
| Dec 29, 2025 | Chelmsford City 1-4 Dagenham & Redbridge | National League - South |
| Sep 26, 2020 | Dagenham & Redbridge 1-0 Chelmsford City | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Dagenham & Redbridge vs Chelmsford City on Apr 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dagenham & Redbridge score 1.5 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Chelmsford City score 1.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dagenham & Redbridge | 1.5 | 1.6 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Chelmsford City | 1.5 | 1.4 | 5 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dagenham & Redbridge sit 1st in National League - South (12 points from 4 matches) and Chelmsford City sit 17th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dagenham & Redbridge | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 12 |
| 17 | Chelmsford City | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dagenham & Redbridge vs Chelmsford City?
- The Footlab model makes Dagenham & Redbridge the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Chelmsford City.
- Where and when is Dagenham & Redbridge vs Chelmsford City played?
- Dagenham & Redbridge vs Chelmsford City is played on January 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Chigwell Construction Stadium, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Jan 2, 2027TorquayvsFarnborough
- Jan 2, 2027DovervsMaidstone Utd
- Jan 2, 2027BraintreevsEbbsfleet United
- Jan 2, 2027MaidenheadvsSalisbury
- Jan 2, 2027Billericay TownvsFolkestone Invicta
- Jan 2, 2027Hampton & RichmondvsTonbridge Angels
- Jan 2, 2027Weston-super-MarevsSlough Town
- Jan 2, 2027Chesham UnitedvsDorking Wanderers