Match

Dagenham & Redbridge vs Chelmsford City: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 25Kick-off on January 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Chigwell Construction Stadium, Dagenham, Essex

Dagenham & RedbridgeChelmsford City

The Footlab model makes Dagenham & Redbridge the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Chelmsford City. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Dagenham & Redbridge vs Chelmsford City?

A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate Dagenham & Redbridge (1,882) and Chelmsford City (1,874).

Dagenham & Redbridge win47 %
Draw25 %
Chelmsford City win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dagenham & Redbridge have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Chelmsford City have 4, 7 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Dagenham & Redbridge
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Torquay(home)2-0National League - South
Aug 18, 2026Walton & Hersham(away)2-0National League - South
Aug 14, 2026Farnham Town(home)2-1National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Dorking Wanderers(away)1-0National League - South
Jul 28, 2026Boreham Wood(home)1-2Friendlies Clubs
Chelmsford City
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Folkestone Invicta(away)1-1National League - South
Aug 15, 2026Truro City(home)0-0National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Hemel Hempstead Town(away)1-1National League - South
Apr 25, 2026Eastbourne Borough(home)1-3National League - South
Apr 18, 2026Chesham United(away)2-0National League - South

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Dagenham & Redbridge win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Chelmsford City win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 6, 2026Dagenham & Redbridge 3-3 Chelmsford CityNational League - South
Dec 29, 2025Chelmsford City 1-4 Dagenham & RedbridgeNational League - South
Sep 26, 2020Dagenham & Redbridge 1-0 Chelmsford CityFriendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: Dagenham & Redbridge vs Chelmsford City on Apr 6, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Dagenham & Redbridge score 1.5 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Chelmsford City score 1.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Dagenham & Redbridge1.51.668/159/15
Chelmsford City1.51.459/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Dagenham & Redbridge sit 1st in National League - South (12 points from 4 matches) and Chelmsford City sit 17th (3 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Dagenham & Redbridge44007112
17Chelmsford City3030223

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Dagenham & Redbridge vs Chelmsford City?
The Footlab model makes Dagenham & Redbridge the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Chelmsford City.
Where and when is Dagenham & Redbridge vs Chelmsford City played?
Dagenham & Redbridge vs Chelmsford City is played on January 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Chigwell Construction Stadium, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Dagenham & Redbridge and Chelmsford City

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