Match

Maidenhead vs Salisbury: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 25Kick-off on January 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)York Road Stadium, Maidenhead, Berkshire

MaidenheadSalisbury

The Footlab model makes Maidenhead the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Salisbury. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Maidenhead vs Salisbury?

A very open match: only 55 Elo points separate Maidenhead (1,811) and Salisbury (1,756).

Maidenhead win49 %
Draw26 %
Salisbury win25 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maidenhead have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Salisbury have 7, 2 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Maidenhead
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Farnborough(home)1-1National League - South
Aug 18, 2026Hemel Hempstead Town(away)1-0National League - South
Aug 15, 2026Dorking Wanderers(home)0-0National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Truro City(away)0-2National League - South
Aug 1, 2026Brackley Town(away)0-1Friendlies Clubs
Salisbury
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Hemel Hempstead Town(home)1-2National League - South
Aug 15, 2026Horsham(away)0-0National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Hampton & Richmond(home)5-0National League - South
Jul 31, 2026Havant & Wville(home)5-0Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026Frome Town(away)0-3Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Maidenhead win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Salisbury win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 24, 2026Maidenhead 2-1 SalisburyNational League - South
Nov 25, 2025Salisbury 0-6 MaidenheadNational League - South

Last archived meeting: Maidenhead vs Salisbury on Feb 24, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Maidenhead score 0.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Salisbury score 2.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Maidenhead0.91.247/154/15
Salisbury2.31.359/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Maidenhead sit 14th in National League - South (5 points from 4 matches) and Salisbury sit 15th (4 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
14Maidenhead4121235
15Salisbury3111624

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Maidenhead vs Salisbury?
The Footlab model makes Maidenhead the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Salisbury.
Where and when is Maidenhead vs Salisbury played?
Maidenhead vs Salisbury is played on January 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at York Road Stadium, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Maidenhead and Salisbury

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