Where and when is Real Aranjuez vs Móstoles played?

Real Aranjuez vs Móstoles is played on December 6, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Deleite, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Real Aranjuez vs Móstoles: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 14Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Deleite, Aranjuez

Real Aranjuez

Móstoles

The Footlab model makes Móstoles the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Real Aranjuez. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Real Aranjuez vs Móstoles?

Móstoles starts as the favourite with a 214-point Elo edge (1,755 vs 1,540).

Real Aranjuez win34 %

Draw27 %

Móstoles win39 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Aranjuez have 2 wins, 2 draws and 11 defeats; Móstoles have 2, 6 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Real Aranjuez
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 23, 2023	Madrid 2021 FP(away)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 16, 2023	RSC Internacional(home)	0-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 6, 2023	Trival Valderas(home)	1-5	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 2, 2023	Rayo Vallecano II(away)	0-6	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Mar 26, 2023	Galapagar(home)	0-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

Móstoles
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	A Madrid III(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 3, 2026	Villanueva Pardillo(home)	3-5	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 25, 2026	Pozuelo Alarcón(away)	0-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 19, 2026	Leganés II(home)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 12, 2026	Trival Valderas(away)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Real Aranjuez win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Móstoles win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 12, 2023	Real Aranjuez 2-0 Móstoles	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 9, 2022	Móstoles 2-1 Real Aranjuez	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Feb 17, 2021	Real Aranjuez 0-1 Móstoles	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 18, 2020	Móstoles 0-0 Real Aranjuez	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

Last archived meeting: Real Aranjuez vs Móstoles on Feb 12, 2023

How many goals should we expect?

Real Aranjuez score 0.6 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Móstoles score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Real Aranjuez	0.6	2.2	4	4/15	6/15
Móstoles	1.1	1.5	0	10/15	4/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
7	Móstoles	34	14	9	11	51	45	51

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Real Aranjuez vs Móstoles?: The Footlab model makes Móstoles the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Real Aranjuez.
Where and when is Real Aranjuez vs Móstoles played?: Real Aranjuez vs Móstoles is played on December 6, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Deleite, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.