Match

Real Aranjuez vs Móstoles: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 14Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Deleite, Aranjuez

Real AranjuezMóstoles

The Footlab AI model makes Móstoles the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Real Aranjuez. The most likely score is 1-1. If Móstoles wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,606 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Real Aranjuez vs Móstoles?

Móstoles starts as the favourite with a 225-point Elo edge (1,781 vs 1,555).

27%24%49%
Real Aranjuez winDrawMóstoles win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Real Aranjuez vs Móstoles

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Real Aranjuez

4-3-3
  1. CChiki
  2. JJuanito Díaz
  3. IIván Morcillo
  1. AAitor Carrillo
  2. CCarlitos Monzón
  3. CChanque
  1. JJuanlu
  2. MMario Jimeno
  3. GG. Spasov
  4. VVíctor Cartas
  1. TT. Robu

Móstoles

Not enough data to predict the Móstoles lineup.

Computed on October 18, 2026 at 04:12 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Aranjuez have 1 win, 4 draws and 10 defeats; Móstoles have 3, 5 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Real Aranjuez
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Alcobendas Sport(away)2-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 10, 2026Colonia Moscardó(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 4, 2026SS Reyes II(away)5-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Sep 26, 2026Trival Valderas(home)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Sep 20, 2026RC Alcobendas(away)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Móstoles
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Unión Adarve(away)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 4, 2026Leganés II(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Sep 27, 2026Torrejón(away)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Sep 20, 2026Cala Pozuelo(home)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Sep 13, 2026Fuenlabrada(away)3-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Real Aranjuez win, 1 draw, 2 Móstoles wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 12, 2023Real Aranjuez 2-0 MóstolesTercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 9, 2022Móstoles 2-1 Real AranjuezTercera División RFEF - Group 7
Feb 17, 2021Real Aranjuez 0-1 MóstolesTercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 18, 2020Móstoles 0-0 Real AranjuezTercera División RFEF - Group 7

Last archived meeting: Real Aranjuez vs Móstoles on Feb 12, 2023

How many goals should we expect?

Real Aranjuez score 1.1 and concede 2.8 goals per match over their last 15; Móstoles score 1.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Real Aranjuez1.12.819/159/15
Móstoles1.01.338/154/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Real Aranjuez sit 15th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 (5 points from 6 matches) and Móstoles sit 6th (11 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Móstoles63217411
15Real Aranjuez612310145

A question about Real Aranjuez vs Móstoles?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Real Aranjuez vs Móstoles?
The Footlab AI model makes Móstoles the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Real Aranjuez.
Where and when is Real Aranjuez vs Móstoles played?
Real Aranjuez vs Móstoles is played on December 6, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Deleite, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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