Where and when is Leganés II vs Unión Adarve played?

Leganés II vs Unión Adarve is played on December 6, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Anexo Butarque, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Leganés II vs Unión Adarve: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 14Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Anexo Butarque, Leganés

Leganés II

Unión Adarve

The Footlab model makes Leganés II the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Unión Adarve. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Leganés II vs Unión Adarve?

A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate Leganés II (1,800) and Unión Adarve (1,796).

Leganés II win44 %

Draw27 %

Unión Adarve win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leganés II have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Unión Adarve have 9, 2 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Leganés II
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 12, 2026	Real Valladolid II(away)	3-3	Friendlies Clubs
May 24, 2026	Trival Valderas(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 17, 2026	Trival Valderas(home)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 10, 2026	Alcobendas Sport(home)	1-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 3, 2026	Tres Cantos(away)	3-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

Unión Adarve
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Racing Madrid(home)	5-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 3, 2026	Las Rozas(away)	2-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 26, 2026	Galapagar(home)	3-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 19, 2026	Villaverde-Boetticher(home)	3-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 11, 2026	A Madrid III(away)	0-3	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Leganés II win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Unión Adarve win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 22, 2026	Unión Adarve 4-3 Leganés II	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Nov 9, 2025	Leganés II 5-0 Unión Adarve	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 22, 2023	Leganés II 0-2 Unión Adarve	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Dec 11, 2022	Unión Adarve 3-3 Leganés II	Segunda División RFEF - Group 5
Apr 17, 2022	Unión Adarve 2-1 Leganés II	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Nov 28, 2021	Leganés II 1-1 Unión Adarve	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1

Last archived meeting: Unión Adarve vs Leganés II on Mar 22, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Leganés II score 1.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Unión Adarve score 1.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Leganés II	1.7	1.6	3	10/15	8/15
Unión Adarve	1.8	1.1	6	6/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Leganés II sit 5th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 (55 points from 34 matches) and Unión Adarve sit 6th (53 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	Leganés II	34	15	10	10	63	33	55
6	Unión Adarve	34	15	8	11	48	42	53

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Leganés II vs Unión Adarve?: The Footlab model makes Leganés II the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Unión Adarve.
Where and when is Leganés II vs Unión Adarve played?: Leganés II vs Unión Adarve is played on December 6, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Anexo Butarque, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.