Leganés II vs Unión Adarve: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 14Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Anexo Butarque, Leganés
The Footlab AI model makes Leganés II the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Unión Adarve. The most likely score is 1-1. If Leganés II wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.8% of the 5,239 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 10, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Leganés II vs Unión Adarve?
A very open match: only 9 Elo points separate Leganés II (1,781) and Unión Adarve (1,773).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Leganés II vs Unión Adarve
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Leganés II
Not enough data to predict the Leganés II lineup.
Unión Adarve
Not enough data to predict the Unión Adarve lineup.
Computed on November 10, 2026 at 09:50 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Leganés II have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Unión Adarve have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Colonia Moscardó(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | SS Reyes II(away) | 4-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Trival Valderas(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | RC Alcobendas(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Galapagar(home) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Real Aranjuez(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Pozuelo Alarcón(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Parla Escuela(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Villanueva Pardillo(home) | 4-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Móstoles(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Leganés II win, 2 draws, 3 Unión Adarve wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | Unión Adarve 4-3 Leganés II | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Leganés II 5-0 Unión Adarve | Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 |
| Apr 22, 2023 | Leganés II 0-2 Unión Adarve | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Dec 11, 2022 | Unión Adarve 3-3 Leganés II | Segunda División RFEF - Group 5 |
| Apr 17, 2022 | Unión Adarve 2-1 Leganés II | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
| Nov 28, 2021 | Leganés II 1-1 Unión Adarve | Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Unión Adarve vs Leganés II on Mar 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Leganés II score 1.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Unión Adarve score 1.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leganés II | 1.8 | 1.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Unión Adarve | 1.9 | 1.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Leganés II sit 9th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 (14 points from 9 matches) and Unión Adarve sit 6th (16 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Unión Adarve | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 13 | 16 |
| 9 | Leganés II | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 12 | 14 |
A question about Leganés II vs Unión Adarve?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Leganés II vs Unión Adarve?
- The Footlab AI model makes Leganés II the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Unión Adarve.
- Where and when is Leganés II vs Unión Adarve played?
- Leganés II vs Unión Adarve is played on December 6, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Anexo Butarque, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 6, 2026Las RozasvsPozuelo Alarcón
- Dec 6, 2026Rayo Vallecano IIvsParla Escuela
- Dec 6, 2026Trival ValderasvsAlcobendas Sport
- Dec 6, 2026Real AranjuezvsMóstoles
- Dec 6, 2026GalapagarvsTorrejón
- Dec 6, 2026Cala PozuelovsVillanueva Pardillo
- Dec 6, 2026SS Reyes IIvsColonia Moscardó
- Dec 6, 2026RC AlcobendasvsFuenlabrada