Tottenham vs Bournemouth: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 17Kick-off on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London
The Footlab model makes Bournemouth the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Tottenham. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tottenham vs Bournemouth?
A very open match: only 85 Elo points separate Tottenham (2,119) and Bournemouth (2,204).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tottenham have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Bournemouth have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Brentford(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | 1899 Hoffenheim(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Getafe(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Chelsea(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Sydney(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Manchester City(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FSV Mainz 05(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Real Betis(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Genoa(home) | 10-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 30, 2026 | FC Augsburg(away) | 5-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Tottenham win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Bournemouth win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2026 | Bournemouth 3-2 Tottenham | Premier League |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Tottenham 0-1 Bournemouth | Premier League |
| Mar 9, 2025 | Tottenham 2-2 Bournemouth | Premier League |
| Dec 5, 2024 | Bournemouth 1-0 Tottenham | Premier League |
| Dec 31, 2023 | Tottenham 3-1 Bournemouth | Premier League |
| Aug 26, 2023 | Bournemouth 0-2 Tottenham | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Bournemouth vs Tottenham on Jan 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Tottenham score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Bournemouth score 2.5 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tottenham | 1.2 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Bournemouth | 2.5 | 1.2 | 3 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tottenham sit 18th in Premier League (0 points from 1 matches) and Bournemouth sit 14th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Bournemouth | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 | Tottenham | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tottenham vs Bournemouth?
- The Footlab model makes Bournemouth the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Tottenham.
- Where and when is Tottenham vs Bournemouth played?
- Tottenham vs Bournemouth is played on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.