Hull City vs Liverpool: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 17Kick-off on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The MKM Stadium, Hull
The Footlab AI model makes Liverpool the favourite at 59%, against 23% for a draw and 18% for Hull City. The most likely score is 1-1. If Liverpool wins, the most likely score is 0-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,853 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hull City vs Liverpool?
Liverpool starts as the favourite with a 296-point Elo edge (2,288 vs 1,992).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Hull City vs Liverpool
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Hull City
5-4-1- 9O. McBurnie
- 27R. Slater
- 25M. Crooks
- 7S. Thomas
- 10M. Belloumi
- 2L. Coyle
- 6S. Ajayi
- 15J. Egan
- 22L. Herrington
- 3R. Giles
- 19K. Tzolakis
Liverpool
4-2-3-1- 9A. Isak
- 7F. Wirtz
- 29B. Barcola
- 10A. Mac Allister
- 23Víctor Muñoz
- 8D. Szoboszlai
- 33R. Araújo
- 5J. Jacquet
- 4V. van Dijk
- 6M. Kerkez
- 1Alisson Becker
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 01:00 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hull City have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Liverpool have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Fulham(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Everton(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Newcastle(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Chelsea(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Sunderland(away) | 0-1 | League Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Brentford(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Lask Linz(away) | 6-3 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Manchester City(home) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Bournemouth(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Tottenham(home) | 3-1 | League Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Hull City wins, 1 draw, 2 Liverpool wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2017 | Hull City 2-0 Liverpool | Premier League |
| Sep 24, 2016 | Liverpool 5-1 Hull City | Premier League |
| Apr 28, 2015 | Hull City 1-0 Liverpool | Premier League |
| Oct 25, 2014 | Liverpool 0-0 Hull City | Premier League |
| Jan 1, 2014 | Liverpool 2-0 Hull City | Premier League |
| Dec 1, 2013 | Hull City 3-1 Liverpool | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Hull City vs Liverpool on Feb 4, 2017
How many goals should we expect?
Hull City score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Liverpool score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hull City | 1.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Liverpool | 1.9 | 1.5 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hull City sit 9th in Premier League (9 points from 7 matches) and Liverpool sit 5th (12 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Liverpool | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 12 |
| 9 | Hull City | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 9 |
A question about Hull City vs Liverpool?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hull City vs Liverpool?
- The Footlab AI model makes Liverpool the favourite at 59%, against 23% for a draw and 18% for Hull City.
- Where and when is Hull City vs Liverpool played?
- Hull City vs Liverpool is played on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The MKM Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.