Tottenham vs Brighton: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 18Kick-off on December 30, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London
The Footlab model makes Brighton the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Tottenham. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tottenham vs Brighton?
A very open match: only 70 Elo points separate Tottenham (2,119) and Brighton (2,189).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tottenham have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Brighton have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Brentford(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | 1899 Hoffenheim(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Getafe(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Chelsea(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Sydney(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Aston Villa(home) | 4-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Tromso(away) | 0-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bologna(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | AS Roma(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Strasbourg(home) | 4-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Tottenham win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Brighton win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Tottenham 2-2 Brighton | Premier League |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Brighton 2-2 Tottenham | Premier League |
| May 25, 2025 | Tottenham 1-4 Brighton | Premier League |
| Oct 6, 2024 | Brighton 3-2 Tottenham | Premier League |
| Feb 10, 2024 | Tottenham 2-1 Brighton | Premier League |
| Dec 28, 2023 | Brighton 4-2 Tottenham | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Tottenham vs Brighton on Apr 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Tottenham score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Brighton score 1.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tottenham | 1.2 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Brighton | 1.7 | 0.9 | 8 | 4/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tottenham sit 18th in Premier League (0 points from 1 matches) and Brighton sit 1st (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brighton | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 18 | Tottenham | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tottenham vs Brighton?
- The Footlab model makes Brighton the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Tottenham.
- Where and when is Tottenham vs Brighton played?
- Tottenham vs Brighton is played on December 30, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.