Crystal Palace vs Arsenal: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 17Kick-off on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Selhurst Park, London
The Footlab AI model makes Arsenal the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Crystal Palace. The most likely score is 1-1. If Arsenal wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,588 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Crystal Palace vs Arsenal?
Arsenal starts as the favourite with a 277-point Elo edge (2,442 vs 2,165).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Crystal Palace vs Arsenal
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Crystal Palace
3-4-2-1- 22J. Strand Larsen
- 3T. Mitchell
- 20A. Wharton
- 10Yeremy Pino
- 23Q. Timber
- 18D. Kamada
- 25A. Khalaili
- 26C. Richards
- 6J. Canvot
- 8J. Lerma
- 44W. Benítez
Arsenal
4-2-3-1- 29K. Havertz
- 41D. Rice
- 49M. Lewis-Skelly
- 8M. Ødegaard
- 7B. Saka
- 20N. Madueke
- 6Gabriel Magalhães
- 15E. Konsa
- 33R. Calafiori
- 4B. White
- 1David Raya
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 10:27 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Crystal Palace have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Arsenal have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | Lyon(away) | 2-3 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Nottingham Forest(home) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Bristol City(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Leeds(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Lech Poznan(home) | 4-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Lille(home) | 3-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Leeds(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Brighton(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Ipswich(away) | 4-2 | League Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Sunderland(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Crystal Palace wins, 2 draws, 4 Arsenal wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Crystal Palace 1-2 Arsenal | Premier League |
| Dec 23, 2025 | Arsenal 1-1 Crystal Palace | League Cup |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Arsenal 1-0 Crystal Palace | Premier League |
| Apr 23, 2025 | Arsenal 2-2 Crystal Palace | Premier League |
| Dec 21, 2024 | Crystal Palace 1-5 Arsenal | Premier League |
| Dec 18, 2024 | Arsenal 3-2 Crystal Palace | League Cup |
Last archived meeting: Crystal Palace vs Arsenal on May 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Crystal Palace score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Arsenal score 2.0 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace | 1.5 | 1.7 | 4 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
| Arsenal | 2.0 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Crystal Palace sit 13th in Premier League (7 points from 6 matches) and Arsenal sit 2nd (15 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Arsenal | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 15 |
| 13 | Crystal Palace | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 7 |
A question about Crystal Palace vs Arsenal?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Crystal Palace vs Arsenal?
- The Footlab AI model makes Arsenal the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Crystal Palace.
- Where and when is Crystal Palace vs Arsenal played?
- Crystal Palace vs Arsenal is played on December 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Selhurst Park, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.