Fréjus St-Raphaël vs Troyes II: prediction and stats
National 2 - Group CGroup C - 10Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stade Louis Hon, Saint-Raphaël
The Footlab AI model makes Fréjus St-Raphaël the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Troyes II. The most likely score is 1-1. If Fréjus St-Raphaël wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,768 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fréjus St-Raphaël vs Troyes II?
A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate Fréjus St-Raphaël (1,768) and Troyes II (1,816).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Fréjus St-Raphaël vs Troyes II
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Fréjus St-Raphaël
Not enough data to predict the Fréjus St-Raphaël lineup.
Troyes II
4-3-3- 3A. Ouzenadji
- 9E. Misse
- 7W. Pierrilus
- 8S. Diarra
- 11A. Moembo
- 6A. Diallo
- 10M. Evangelisti
- 5N. Deheppe
- 2N. Donkor
- 11F. Ondoa Onambele
- 1A. Touré
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 11:45 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fréjus St-Raphaël have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Troyes II have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Canet Roussillon(home) | 4-0 | National 2 - Group C |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Bourges Foot 18(away) | 1-0 | National 2 - Group C |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Chasselay MDA(home) | 2-4 | National 2 - Group C |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Toulon(away) | 1-3 | National 2 - Group C |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Andrézieux(home) | 2-0 | National 2 - Group C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Chasselay MDA(home) | 1-0 | National 2 - Group C |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Toulon(away) | 0-1 | National 2 - Group C |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Andrézieux(home) | 3-2 | National 2 - Group C |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Nimes(away) | 0-4 | National 2 - Group C |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Saint-Priest(home) | 3-1 | National 2 - Group C |
How many goals should we expect?
Fréjus St-Raphaël score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Troyes II score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fréjus St-Raphaël | 1.3 | 1.5 | 6 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| Troyes II | 1.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fréjus St-Raphaël sit 6th in National 2 - Group C (12 points from 7 matches) and Troyes II sit 8th (10 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Fréjus St-Raphaël | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 10 | 12 |
| 8 | Troyes II | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 10 |
A question about Fréjus St-Raphaël vs Troyes II?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fréjus St-Raphaël vs Troyes II?
- The Footlab AI model makes Fréjus St-Raphaël the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Troyes II.
- Where and when is Fréjus St-Raphaël vs Troyes II played?
- Fréjus St-Raphaël vs Troyes II is played on November 21, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Louis Hon, in the National 2 - Group C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.