Fréjus St-Raphaël vs Troyes II: prediction and stats
National 2 - Group CGroup C - 10Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stade Louis Hon, Saint-Raphaël
The Footlab model makes Fréjus St-Raphaël the favourite at 36%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Troyes II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fréjus St-Raphaël vs Troyes II?
A very open match: only 63 Elo points separate Fréjus St-Raphaël (1,714) and Troyes II (1,776).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fréjus St-Raphaël have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Troyes II have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Saint-Priest(home) | 3-0 | National 2 - Group C |
| May 16, 2026 | Grasse(home) | 1-0 | National 2 - Group C |
| May 9, 2026 | Bobigny(away) | 0-1 | National 2 - Group C |
| May 2, 2026 | Toulon(home) | 0-1 | National 2 - Group C |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Saint-Priest(home) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Istres(home) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group C |
| May 16, 2026 | Besançon(away) | 3-2 | National 3 - Group F |
| May 9, 2026 | Mulhouse(home) | 5-0 | National 3 - Group F |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Torcy(away) | 1-2 | National 3 - Group F |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Thonon Évian(home) | 2-2 | National 3 - Group F |
How many goals should we expect?
Fréjus St-Raphaël score 1.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Troyes II score 2.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fréjus St-Raphaël | 1.1 | 1.4 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Troyes II | 2.1 | 1.2 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fréjus St-Raphaël sit 2nd in National 2 - Group C (3 points from 1 matches) and Troyes II sit 12th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Fréjus St-Raphaël | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 | Troyes II | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fréjus St-Raphaël vs Troyes II?
- The Footlab model makes Fréjus St-Raphaël the favourite at 36%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Troyes II.
- Where and when is Fréjus St-Raphaël vs Troyes II played?
- Fréjus St-Raphaël vs Troyes II is played on November 21, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Louis Hon, in the National 2 - Group C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.