TransINVEST Vilnius vs Suduva Marijampole: prediction and stats
A LygaRegular Season - 30Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Širvintų stadionas, Širvintos
The Footlab model makes Suduva Marijampole the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for TransINVEST Vilnius. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win TransINVEST Vilnius vs Suduva Marijampole?
A very open match: only 91 Elo points separate TransINVEST Vilnius (1,680) and Suduva Marijampole (1,771).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, TransINVEST Vilnius have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Suduva Marijampole have 9, 5 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Kauno Žalgiris(away) | 1-1 | A Lyga |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Panevėžys(home) | 0-2 | A Lyga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Hegelmann Litauen(away) | 2-1 | A Lyga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Džiugas Telšiai(home) | 1-0 | A Lyga |
| Jul 19, 2026 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius(away) | 1-3 | A Lyga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Panevėžys(home) | 2-0 | A Lyga |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Džiugas Telšiai(away) | 2-0 | A Lyga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Banga(away) | 3-0 | A Lyga |
| Jul 20, 2026 | Hegelmann Litauen(home) | 5-1 | A Lyga |
| Jul 6, 2026 | TransINVEST Vilnius(home) | 0-0 | A Lyga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 TransINVEST Vilnius win(s), 4 draw(s), 2 Suduva Marijampole win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 6, 2026 | Suduva Marijampole 0-0 TransINVEST Vilnius | A Lyga |
| May 6, 2026 | TransINVEST Vilnius 1-1 Suduva Marijampole | A Lyga |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Suduva Marijampole 2-0 TransINVEST Vilnius | A Lyga |
| Feb 1, 2025 | Suduva Marijampole 3-1 TransINVEST Vilnius | Friendlies Clubs |
| Oct 6, 2024 | Suduva Marijampole 0-0 TransINVEST Vilnius | A Lyga |
| Jul 20, 2024 | TransINVEST Vilnius 2-2 Suduva Marijampole | A Lyga |
Last archived meeting: Suduva Marijampole vs TransINVEST Vilnius on Jul 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
TransINVEST Vilnius score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Suduva Marijampole score 1.9 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TransINVEST Vilnius | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Suduva Marijampole | 1.9 | 0.7 | 6 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
TransINVEST Vilnius sit 6th in A Lyga (36 points from 24 matches) and Suduva Marijampole sit 1st (42 points from 23 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Suduva Marijampole | 23 | 11 | 9 | 3 | 33 | 17 | 42 |
| 6 | TransINVEST Vilnius | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 33 | 32 | 36 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for TransINVEST Vilnius vs Suduva Marijampole?
- The Footlab model makes Suduva Marijampole the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for TransINVEST Vilnius.
- Where and when is TransINVEST Vilnius vs Suduva Marijampole played?
- TransINVEST Vilnius vs Suduva Marijampole is played on September 6, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Širvintų stadionas, in the A Lyga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.