Hegelmann Litauen vs Panevėžys: prediction and stats
A LygaRegular Season - 30Kick-off on September 7, 2026 at 03:45 PM (UTC)LFF Kauno treniruočių centras, Kaunas
The Footlab model makes Hegelmann Litauen the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Panevėžys. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hegelmann Litauen vs Panevėžys?
A very open match: only 2 Elo points separate Hegelmann Litauen (1,636) and Panevėžys (1,638).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hegelmann Litauen have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; Panevėžys have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Banga(home) | 1-1 | A Lyga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kauno Žalgiris(away) | 0-2 | A Lyga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | TransINVEST Vilnius(home) | 1-2 | A Lyga |
| Jul 27, 2026 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius(home) | 2-3 | A Lyga |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Šiauliai(away) | 2-0 | A Lyga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Suduva Marijampole(away) | 0-2 | A Lyga |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Šiauliai(away) | 0-1 | A Lyga |
| Aug 10, 2026 | TransINVEST Vilnius(away) | 2-0 | A Lyga |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Džiugas Telšiai(home) | 1-1 | A Lyga |
| Jul 30, 2026 | FK Tobol Kostanay(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Hegelmann Litauen win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Panevėžys win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 4, 2026 | Panevėžys 1-1 Hegelmann Litauen | A Lyga |
| May 6, 2026 | Hegelmann Litauen 3-2 Panevėžys | A Lyga |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Panevėžys 1-1 Hegelmann Litauen | A Lyga |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Panevėžys 1-0 Hegelmann Litauen | Cup |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Panevėžys 0-1 Hegelmann Litauen | A Lyga |
| Aug 17, 2025 | Hegelmann Litauen 3-1 Panevėžys | A Lyga |
Last archived meeting: Panevėžys vs Hegelmann Litauen on Jul 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hegelmann Litauen score 1.0 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Panevėžys score 0.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hegelmann Litauen | 1.0 | 1.8 | 1 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
| Panevėžys | 0.9 | 1.7 | 2 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hegelmann Litauen sit 7th in A Lyga (23 points from 25 matches) and Panevėžys sit 8th (23 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Hegelmann Litauen | 25 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 27 | 42 | 23 |
| 8 | Panevėžys | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 21 | 41 | 23 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hegelmann Litauen vs Panevėžys?
- The Footlab model makes Hegelmann Litauen the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Panevėžys.
- Where and when is Hegelmann Litauen vs Panevėžys played?
- Hegelmann Litauen vs Panevėžys is played on September 7, 2026 at 03:45 PM (UTC) at LFF Kauno treniruočių centras, in the A Lyga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.