FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs Šiauliai: prediction and stats
A LygaRegular Season - 30Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)S. Dariaus ir S. Girėno stadionas, Kaunas
The Footlab model makes FK Zalgiris Vilnius the favourite at 66%, against 19% for a draw and 15% for Šiauliai. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs Šiauliai?
FK Zalgiris Vilnius starts as the favourite with a 183-point Elo edge (1,741 vs 1,559).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FK Zalgiris Vilnius have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Šiauliai have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Džiugas Telšiai(home) | 2-0 | A Lyga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Banga(home) | 2-3 | A Lyga |
| Aug 13, 2026 | HNK Hajduk Split(away) | 0-4 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | HNK Hajduk Split(home) | 2-5 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Dinamo Tbilisi(home) | 7-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | Panevėžys(home) | 1-0 | A Lyga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Džiugas Telšiai(home) | 3-4 | A Lyga |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Banga(home) | 1-3 | A Lyga |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Hegelmann Litauen(home) | 0-2 | A Lyga |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Kauno Žalgiris(away) | 0-4 | A Lyga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 FK Zalgiris Vilnius win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Šiauliai win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 5, 2026 | Šiauliai 0-3 FK Zalgiris Vilnius | A Lyga |
| May 6, 2026 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius 3-1 Šiauliai | A Lyga |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Šiauliai 0-2 FK Zalgiris Vilnius | A Lyga |
| Jan 31, 2026 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius 4-2 Šiauliai | Friendlies Clubs |
| Oct 26, 2025 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius 1-0 Šiauliai | A Lyga |
| Aug 11, 2025 | Šiauliai 2-2 FK Zalgiris Vilnius | A Lyga |
Last archived meeting: Šiauliai vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius on Jul 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FK Zalgiris Vilnius score 2.2 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Šiauliai score 1.3 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FK Zalgiris Vilnius | 2.2 | 1.8 | 4 | 8/15 | 13/15 |
| Šiauliai | 1.3 | 2.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FK Zalgiris Vilnius sit 3rd in A Lyga (37 points from 23 matches) and Šiauliai sit 9th (16 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 37 | 27 | 37 |
| 9 | Šiauliai | 24 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 23 | 50 | 16 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs Šiauliai?
- The Footlab model makes FK Zalgiris Vilnius the favourite at 66%, against 19% for a draw and 15% for Šiauliai.
- Where and when is FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs Šiauliai played?
- FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs Šiauliai is played on September 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at S. Dariaus ir S. Girėno stadionas, in the A Lyga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.