Novara vs Juventus U23: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone AGirone A - 20Kick-off on January 3, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale Silvio Piola, Novara
The Footlab model makes Juventus U23 the favourite at 39%, against 30% for a draw and 32% for Novara. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Novara vs Juventus U23?
Juventus U23 starts as the favourite with a 101-point Elo edge (1,859 vs 1,758).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Novara have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Juventus U23 have 4, 8 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Juventus U23(away) | 0-1 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Alcione(away) | 1-0 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Virtus Entella(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Sampdoria(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Ospitaletto(away) | 2-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Novara(home) | 1-0 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Forli(home) | 1-1 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Pisa(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 6, 2026 | Pianese(home) | 0-2 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| May 3, 2026 | Vis Pesaro(home) | 2-2 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Novara win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Juventus U23 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Juventus U23 1-0 Novara | Serie C - Girone A |
| Aug 17, 2025 | Juventus U23 1-0 Novara | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Mar 12, 2023 | Novara 2-0 Juventus U23 | Serie C - Girone A |
| Nov 6, 2022 | Juventus U23 2-1 Novara | Serie C - Girone A |
| Mar 3, 2021 | Juventus U23 2-1 Novara | Serie C - Girone A |
| Nov 8, 2020 | Novara 1-1 Juventus U23 | Serie C - Girone A |
Last archived meeting: Juventus U23 vs Novara on Aug 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Novara score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Juventus U23 score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novara | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Juventus U23 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Novara sit 18th in Serie C - Girone A (0 points from 1 matches) and Juventus U23 sit 8th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Juventus U23 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 18 | Novara | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Novara vs Juventus U23?
- The Footlab model makes Juventus U23 the favourite at 39%, against 30% for a draw and 32% for Novara.
- Where and when is Novara vs Juventus U23 played?
- Novara vs Juventus U23 is played on January 3, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale Silvio Piola, in the Serie C - Girone A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.