Where and when is Tritium vs Rovato Vertovese played?

Tritium vs Rovato Vertovese is played on September 27, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale La Rocca, in the Serie D - Girone B.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Tritium vs Rovato Vertovese: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone BGroup B - 5Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Comunale La Rocca, Trezzo sull'Adda

Tritium

Rovato Vertovese

The Footlab model makes Rovato Vertovese the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Tritium. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Tritium vs Rovato Vertovese?

Rovato Vertovese starts as the favourite with a 207-point Elo edge (1,752 vs 1,545).

Tritium win25 %

Draw27 %

Rovato Vertovese win48 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tritium have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; Rovato Vertovese have 6, 6 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Tritium
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 5, 2024	Pro Palazzolo(home)	2-4	Serie D - Girone B
Apr 28, 2024	Club Milano(away)	1-1	Serie D - Girone B
Apr 21, 2024	Desenzano Calvina(home)	0-2	Serie D - Girone B
Apr 14, 2024	Caravaggio(away)	2-3	Serie D - Girone B
Apr 7, 2024	Arconatese(home)	0-1	Serie D - Girone B

Rovato Vertovese
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 8, 2026	Ospitaletto(home)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs
May 3, 2026	Imolese(away)	0-1	Serie D - Girone D
Apr 26, 2026	Sangiuliano City(home)	2-0	Serie D - Girone D
Apr 19, 2026	Sasso Marconi Zola(away)	1-2	Serie D - Girone D
Apr 12, 2026	Cittadella Vis Modena(away)	0-0	Serie D - Girone D

How many goals should we expect?

Tritium score 0.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Rovato Vertovese score 1.1 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Tritium	0.7	1.6	2	5/15	4/15
Rovato Vertovese	1.1	0.7	7	6/15	4/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Tritium vs Rovato Vertovese?: The Footlab model makes Rovato Vertovese the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Tritium.
Where and when is Tritium vs Rovato Vertovese played?: Tritium vs Rovato Vertovese is played on September 27, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Comunale La Rocca, in the Serie D - Girone B.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.