Real Calepina vs Brusaporto: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone BGroup B - 5Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Campo Sportivo Comunale Libico, Grumello del Monte
The Footlab model makes Brusaporto the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Real Calepina. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Real Calepina vs Brusaporto?
A very open match: only 43 Elo points separate Real Calepina (1,690) and Brusaporto (1,733).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Calepina have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Brusaporto have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Scanzorosciate(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Sondrio(away) | 1-5 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Folgore Caratese(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Breno(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Milan II(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Fiorenzuola(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Oltrepò(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Folgore Caratese(home) | 3-1 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Breno(away) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone B |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Milan II(home) | 0-4 | Serie D - Girone B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Real Calepina win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Brusaporto win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2026 | Real Calepina 1-0 Brusaporto | Serie D - Girone B |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Brusaporto 0-3 Real Calepina | Serie D - Girone B |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Real Calepina 3-3 Brusaporto | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Feb 9, 2025 | Brusaporto 1-1 Real Calepina | Serie D - Girone C |
| Oct 13, 2024 | Real Calepina 0-1 Brusaporto | Serie D - Girone C |
| Jan 14, 2024 | Real Calepina 1-1 Brusaporto | Serie D - Girone B |
Last archived meeting: Real Calepina vs Brusaporto on Jan 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Real Calepina score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Brusaporto score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Calepina | 1.1 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Brusaporto | 0.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Real Calepina sit 12th in Serie D - Girone B (42 points from 34 matches) and Brusaporto sit 7th (51 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Brusaporto | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 41 | 38 | 51 |
| 12 | Real Calepina | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 42 | 47 | 42 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Real Calepina vs Brusaporto?
- The Footlab model makes Brusaporto the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Real Calepina.
- Where and when is Real Calepina vs Brusaporto played?
- Real Calepina vs Brusaporto is played on September 27, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Sportivo Comunale Libico, in the Serie D - Girone B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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