Match

Real Calepina vs Brusaporto: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone BGroup B - 5Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Campo Sportivo Comunale Libico, Grumello del Monte

Real CalepinaBrusaporto

The Footlab model makes Brusaporto the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Real Calepina. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Real Calepina vs Brusaporto?

A very open match: only 43 Elo points separate Real Calepina (1,690) and Brusaporto (1,733).

Real Calepina win33 %
Draw28 %
Brusaporto win39 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Calepina have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Brusaporto have 6, 2 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Real Calepina
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 3, 2026Scanzorosciate(home)1-1Serie D - Girone B
Apr 26, 2026Sondrio(away)1-5Serie D - Girone B
Apr 19, 2026Folgore Caratese(away)1-1Serie D - Girone B
Apr 12, 2026Breno(home)1-1Serie D - Girone B
Apr 8, 2026Milan II(home)1-0Serie D - Girone B
Brusaporto
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 8, 2026Fiorenzuola(home)1-0Friendlies Clubs
May 3, 2026Oltrepò(away)1-2Serie D - Girone B
Apr 26, 2026Folgore Caratese(home)3-1Serie D - Girone B
Apr 19, 2026Breno(away)2-0Serie D - Girone B
Apr 12, 2026Milan II(home)0-4Serie D - Girone B

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Real Calepina win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Brusaporto win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 11, 2026Real Calepina 1-0 BrusaportoSerie D - Girone B
Sep 14, 2025Brusaporto 0-3 Real CalepinaSerie D - Girone B
Aug 31, 2025Real Calepina 3-3 BrusaportoCoppa Italia Serie D
Feb 9, 2025Brusaporto 1-1 Real CalepinaSerie D - Girone C
Oct 13, 2024Real Calepina 0-1 BrusaportoSerie D - Girone C
Jan 14, 2024Real Calepina 1-1 BrusaportoSerie D - Girone B

Last archived meeting: Real Calepina vs Brusaporto on Jan 11, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Real Calepina score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Brusaporto score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Real Calepina1.11.258/155/15
Brusaporto0.91.146/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Real Calepina sit 12th in Serie D - Girone B (42 points from 34 matches) and Brusaporto sit 7th (51 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Brusaporto3415613413851
12Real Calepina3411914424742

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Real Calepina vs Brusaporto?
The Footlab model makes Brusaporto the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Real Calepina.
Where and when is Real Calepina vs Brusaporto played?
Real Calepina vs Brusaporto is played on September 27, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Sportivo Comunale Libico, in the Serie D - Girone B.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Real Calepina and Brusaporto

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