Match

Milan II vs Piacenza: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone BGroup B - 5Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)

Milan IIPiacenza

The Footlab model makes Piacenza the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Milan II. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Milan II vs Piacenza?

A very open match: only 92 Elo points separate Milan II (1,764) and Piacenza (1,856).

Milan II win32 %
Draw28 %
Piacenza win40 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Milan II have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Piacenza have 9, 1 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Milan II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Chievo(away)1-2Serie D - Girone B
May 3, 2026Vogherese(home)10-1Serie D - Girone B
Apr 26, 2026Castellanzese(away)3-1Serie D - Girone B
Apr 19, 2026Varesina(home)0-1Serie D - Girone B
Apr 12, 2026Brusaporto(away)4-0Serie D - Girone B
Piacenza
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 17, 2026Lentigione(away)2-0Serie D - Girone D
May 10, 2026Pistoiese(away)3-1Serie D - Girone D
May 3, 2026Crema(home)3-1Serie D - Girone D
Apr 26, 2026Coriano(away)0-1Serie D - Girone D
Apr 19, 2026Pro Sesto(home)3-1Serie D - Girone D

How many goals should we expect?

Milan II score 2.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Piacenza score 1.9 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Milan II2.11.148/158/15
Piacenza1.91.048/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Milan II3416810623756

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Milan II vs Piacenza?
The Footlab model makes Piacenza the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Milan II.
Where and when is Milan II vs Piacenza played?
Milan II vs Piacenza is played on September 27, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Serie D - Girone B.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Milan II and Piacenza

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