Troszyn vs Ząbkovia Ząbki: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 1Group I - 13Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Piłkarski KS CK Troszyn, Troszyn
The Footlab model makes Troszyn the favourite at 50%, against 21% for a draw and 28% for Ząbkovia Ząbki. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Troszyn vs Ząbkovia Ząbki?
A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate Troszyn (1,750) and Ząbkovia Ząbki (1,701).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Troszyn have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Ząbkovia Ząbki have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Pelikan Łowicz(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Warta Sieradz(home) | 1-4 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Wigry Suwałki(away) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki(home) | 1-4 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Widzew II(away) | 1-5 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Warta Sieradz(away) | 4-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Wigry Suwałki(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki(away) | 2-3 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Widzew II(home) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Olimpia Zambrów(away) | 0-5 | III Liga - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Troszyn win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Ząbkovia Ząbki win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Troszyn 4-0 Ząbkovia Ząbki | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Ząbkovia Ząbki 6-2 Troszyn | III Liga - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Troszyn vs Ząbkovia Ząbki on Mar 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Troszyn score 1.3 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Ząbkovia Ząbki score 1.4 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Troszyn | 1.3 | 1.8 | 2 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Ząbkovia Ząbki | 1.4 | 1.9 | 3 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Troszyn sit 17th in III Liga - Group 1 (1 points from 5 matches) and Ząbkovia Ząbki sit 13th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Ząbkovia Ząbki | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 7 |
| 17 | Troszyn | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Troszyn vs Ząbkovia Ząbki?
- The Footlab model makes Troszyn the favourite at 50%, against 21% for a draw and 28% for Ząbkovia Ząbki.
- Where and when is Troszyn vs Ząbkovia Ząbki played?
- Troszyn vs Ząbkovia Ząbki is played on October 17, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Piłkarski KS CK Troszyn, in the III Liga - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 17, 2026Pelikan ŁowiczvsWigry Suwałki
- Oct 17, 2026Jagiellonia IIvsSwit
- Oct 17, 2026Lechia T. MazowieckivsWidzew II
- Oct 17, 2026ŁKS Łódź IIvsOlimpia Elbląg
- Oct 17, 2026Mławianka MławavsPolonia Lidzbark Warm.
- Oct 17, 2026Warta SieradzvsWisła Płock II
- Oct 17, 2026ŁomżavsOlimpia Zambrów
- Oct 17, 2026WeszlovsMazovia Minsk Mazowiecki