Pelikan Łowicz vs Wigry Suwałki: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 1Group I - 13Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Pelikan, Łowicz
The Footlab model makes Wigry Suwałki the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Pelikan Łowicz. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pelikan Łowicz vs Wigry Suwałki?
Wigry Suwałki starts as the favourite with a 182-point Elo edge (1,834 vs 1,652).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pelikan Łowicz have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Wigry Suwałki have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Troszyn(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Jagiellonia II(away) | 0-3 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | ŁKS Łódź II(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Mławianka Mława(away) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Łomża(home) | 3-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Swit(home) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Ząbkovia Ząbki(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Troszyn(home) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Jagiellonia II(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | ŁKS Łódź II(home) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Pelikan Łowicz win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Wigry Suwałki win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2025 | Pelikan Łowicz 1-0 Wigry Suwałki | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Wigry Suwałki 2-1 Pelikan Łowicz | III Liga - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Pelikan Łowicz vs Wigry Suwałki on Apr 12, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Pelikan Łowicz score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Wigry Suwałki score 1.6 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pelikan Łowicz | 1.1 | 1.7 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Wigry Suwałki | 1.6 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pelikan Łowicz sit 4th in III Liga - Group 1 (10 points from 5 matches) and Wigry Suwałki sit 7th (8 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Pelikan Łowicz | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 10 |
| 7 | Wigry Suwałki | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pelikan Łowicz vs Wigry Suwałki?
- The Footlab model makes Wigry Suwałki the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Pelikan Łowicz.
- Where and when is Pelikan Łowicz vs Wigry Suwałki played?
- Pelikan Łowicz vs Wigry Suwałki is played on October 17, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Pelikan, in the III Liga - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 17, 2026Jagiellonia IIvsSwit
- Oct 17, 2026Lechia T. MazowieckivsWidzew II
- Oct 17, 2026ŁKS Łódź IIvsOlimpia Elbląg
- Oct 17, 2026Mławianka MławavsPolonia Lidzbark Warm.
- Oct 17, 2026Warta SieradzvsWisła Płock II
- Oct 17, 2026ŁomżavsOlimpia Zambrów
- Oct 17, 2026TroszynvsZąbkovia Ząbki
- Oct 17, 2026WeszlovsMazovia Minsk Mazowiecki