Łomża vs Olimpia Zambrów: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 1Group I - 13Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski, Łomża
The Footlab model makes Łomża the favourite at 66%, against 18% for a draw and 16% for Olimpia Zambrów. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Łomża vs Olimpia Zambrów?
Łomża starts as the favourite with a 139-point Elo edge (1,842 vs 1,703).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Łomża have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Olimpia Zambrów have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Mławianka Mława(home) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Wisła Płock II(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Lechia T. Mazowiecki(away) | 2-5 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Weszlo(home) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Pelikan Łowicz(away) | 2-3 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Wisła Płock II(home) | 4-3 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Polonia Lidzbark Warm.(away) | 3-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Olimpia Elbląg(home) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Swit(away) | 0-4 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Ząbkovia Ząbki(home) | 5-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Łomża win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Olimpia Zambrów win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2024 | Olimpia Zambrów 0-1 Łomża | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Sep 29, 2023 | Łomża 0-0 Olimpia Zambrów | III Liga - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Olimpia Zambrów vs Łomża on Apr 27, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Łomża score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Olimpia Zambrów score 1.9 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Łomża | 1.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Olimpia Zambrów | 1.9 | 1.9 | 2 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Łomża sit 15th in III Liga - Group 1 (2 points from 5 matches) and Olimpia Zambrów sit 6th (9 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Olimpia Zambrów | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 9 |
| 15 | Łomża | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Łomża vs Olimpia Zambrów?
- The Footlab model makes Łomża the favourite at 66%, against 18% for a draw and 16% for Olimpia Zambrów.
- Where and when is Łomża vs Olimpia Zambrów played?
- Łomża vs Olimpia Zambrów is played on October 17, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski, in the III Liga - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 17, 2026Pelikan ŁowiczvsWigry Suwałki
- Oct 17, 2026Jagiellonia IIvsSwit
- Oct 17, 2026Lechia T. MazowieckivsWidzew II
- Oct 17, 2026ŁKS Łódź IIvsOlimpia Elbląg
- Oct 17, 2026Mławianka MławavsPolonia Lidzbark Warm.
- Oct 17, 2026Warta SieradzvsWisła Płock II
- Oct 17, 2026TroszynvsZąbkovia Ząbki
- Oct 17, 2026WeszlovsMazovia Minsk Mazowiecki