Jagiellonia II vs Swit: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 1Group I - 13Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Ośrodek Szkoleniowy Jagiellonii Białystok, Białystok
The Footlab model makes Jagiellonia II the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Swit. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Jagiellonia II vs Swit?
A very open match: only 85 Elo points separate Jagiellonia II (1,773) and Swit (1,689).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Jagiellonia II have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Swit have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Weszlo(away) | 0-4 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Pelikan Łowicz(home) | 3-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Warta Sieradz(away) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Wigry Suwałki(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki(away) | 3-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Wigry Suwałki(away) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki(home) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Widzew II(away) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Olimpia Zambrów(home) | 4-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Polonia Lidzbark Warm.(away) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Jagiellonia II win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Swit win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Jagiellonia II 5-1 Swit | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Swit 3-2 Jagiellonia II | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Nov 23, 2024 | Jagiellonia II 5-2 Swit | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 3, 2024 | Swit 1-0 Jagiellonia II | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Mar 17, 2024 | Jagiellonia II 1-0 Swit | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 23, 2023 | Swit 2-2 Jagiellonia II | III Liga - Group 1 |
Last archived meeting: Jagiellonia II vs Swit on Apr 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Jagiellonia II score 1.6 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Swit score 1.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jagiellonia II | 1.6 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Swit | 1.7 | 1.6 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Jagiellonia II sit 9th in III Liga - Group 1 (8 points from 5 matches) and Swit sit 10th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Jagiellonia II | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 8 |
| 10 | Swit | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Jagiellonia II vs Swit?
- The Footlab model makes Jagiellonia II the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 22% for Swit.
- Where and when is Jagiellonia II vs Swit played?
- Jagiellonia II vs Swit is played on October 17, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Ośrodek Szkoleniowy Jagiellonii Białystok, in the III Liga - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 17, 2026Pelikan ŁowiczvsWigry Suwałki
- Oct 17, 2026Lechia T. MazowieckivsWidzew II
- Oct 17, 2026ŁKS Łódź IIvsOlimpia Elbląg
- Oct 17, 2026Mławianka MławavsPolonia Lidzbark Warm.
- Oct 17, 2026Warta SieradzvsWisła Płock II
- Oct 17, 2026ŁomżavsOlimpia Zambrów
- Oct 17, 2026TroszynvsZąbkovia Ząbki
- Oct 17, 2026WeszlovsMazovia Minsk Mazowiecki