Troszyn vs Widzew II: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 1Group I - 18Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Piłkarski KS CK Troszyn, Troszyn
The Footlab model makes Widzew II the favourite at 47%, against 22% for a draw and 31% for Troszyn. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Troszyn vs Widzew II?
A very open match: only 52 Elo points separate Troszyn (1,750) and Widzew II (1,801).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Troszyn have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Widzew II have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Pelikan Łowicz(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Warta Sieradz(home) | 1-4 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Wigry Suwałki(away) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki(home) | 1-4 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Widzew II(away) | 1-5 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Polonia Lidzbark Warm.(home) | 4-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Olimpia Elbląg(away) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Swit(home) | 0-0 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ząbkovia Ząbki(away) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Troszyn(home) | 5-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Troszyn win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Widzew II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 2026 | Widzew II 5-1 Troszyn | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Widzew II 0-2 Troszyn | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Troszyn 6-0 Widzew II | III Liga - Group 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Troszyn score 1.3 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Widzew II score 2.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Troszyn | 1.3 | 1.8 | 2 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Widzew II | 2.2 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Troszyn sit 17th in III Liga - Group 1 (1 points from 5 matches) and Widzew II sit 2nd (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Widzew II | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 3 | 10 |
| 17 | Troszyn | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Troszyn vs Widzew II?
- The Footlab model makes Widzew II the favourite at 47%, against 22% for a draw and 31% for Troszyn.
- Where and when is Troszyn vs Widzew II played?
- Troszyn vs Widzew II is played on November 21, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Piłkarski KS CK Troszyn, in the III Liga - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 21, 2026SwitvsPolonia Lidzbark Warm.
- Nov 21, 2026Jagiellonia IIvsMazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
- Nov 21, 2026Lechia T. MazowieckivsWeszlo
- Nov 21, 2026ŁKS Łódź IIvsWigry Suwałki
- Nov 21, 2026Mławianka MławavsWarta Sieradz
- Nov 21, 2026ŁomżavsPelikan Łowicz
- Nov 21, 2026Wisła Płock IIvsOlimpia Elbląg
- Nov 21, 2026Ząbkovia ZąbkivsOlimpia Zambrów