TSV 1860 München vs Illertissen: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - BayernBayern - 32Kick-off on April 13, 2027 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Städtisches Stadion an der Grünwalder Straße, München
The Footlab model makes Illertissen the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for TSV 1860 München. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win TSV 1860 München vs Illertissen?
A very open match: only 64 Elo points separate TSV 1860 München (1,914) and Illertissen (1,978).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, TSV 1860 München have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Illertissen have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Holstein Kiel(home) | 0-2 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Aubstadt(away) | 3-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Memmingen(away) | 3-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Augsburg II(home) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC Schweinfurt 05(away) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Bayreuth(away) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 14, 2026 | SpVgg Unterhaching(home) | 3-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Landsberg(away) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Schwaben Augsburg(home) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Eichstätt(away) | 3-0 | Regionalliga - Bayern |
How many goals should we expect?
TSV 1860 München score 1.3 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Illertissen score 2.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TSV 1860 München | 1.3 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Illertissen | 2.3 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
TSV 1860 München sit 6th in Regionalliga - Bayern (8 points from 4 matches) and Illertissen sit 2nd (11 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Illertissen | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 11 |
| 6 | TSV 1860 München | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 6 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for TSV 1860 München vs Illertissen?
- The Footlab model makes Illertissen the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for TSV 1860 München.
- Where and when is TSV 1860 München vs Illertissen played?
- TSV 1860 München vs Illertissen is played on April 13, 2027 at 03:30 PM (UTC) at Städtisches Stadion an der Grünwalder Straße, in the Regionalliga - Bayern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 13, 2027SpVgg UnterhachingvsBayern München II
- Apr 13, 2027EichstättvsMemmingen
- Apr 13, 2027AubstadtvsLandsberg
- Apr 13, 2027BayreuthvsSchwaben Augsburg
- Apr 13, 2027BuchbachvsVilzing
- Apr 13, 2027Greuther Fürth IIvsWacker Burghausen
- Apr 13, 2027Nürnberg IIvsAnsbach
- Apr 13, 2027EltersdorfvsFC Schweinfurt 05