TSV Hartberg vs Austria Lustenau: prediction and stats
BundesligaRegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)PROfertil ARENA, Hartberg
The Footlab AI model makes TSV Hartberg the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Austria Lustenau. The most likely score is 1-1. If TSV Hartberg wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win TSV Hartberg vs Austria Lustenau?
TSV Hartberg starts as the favourite with a 121-point Elo edge (2,050 vs 1,929).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for TSV Hartberg vs Austria Lustenau
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
TSV Hartberg
5-3-2- 7A. Gattermayer
- 22M. Hoffman
- 23T. Kainz
- 4B. Markuš
- 10O. Lukic
- 14P. Komposch
- 18F. Wilfinger
- 27K. Schopp
- 16M. Dalpiaz
- 6Habib Coulibaly
- 91Á. Pécsi
Austria Lustenau
4-1-4-1- 39A. Verinac
- 11D. Weixelbraun
- 24S. Diarra
- 20L. Afrifa
- 8D. Kacuri
- 19S. Delaye
- 3Danilo Soares
- 29N. Pertlwieser
- 18R. Voisine
- 21Anilson
- 27D. Schierl
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 01:04 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, TSV Hartberg have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Austria Lustenau have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Lask Linz(home) | 3-3 | Bundesliga |
| Sep 13, 2026 | WSG Wattens(away) | 2-2 | Bundesliga |
| Sep 6, 2026 | SK Vorwarts Steyr(away) | 4-0 | Cup |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Ried(home) | 3-2 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 22, 2026 | SCR Altach(away) | 2-1 | Bundesliga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | FC Schalke 04(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | SCR Altach(home) | 2-0 | Bundesliga |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Austria Vienna(away) | 1-2 | Bundesliga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | SV Lafnitz(away) | 6-2 | Cup |
| Aug 28, 2026 | WSG Wattens(home) | 0-4 | Bundesliga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 TSV Hartberg wins, 2 draws, 2 Austria Lustenau wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2024 | Austria Lustenau 0-3 TSV Hartberg | Cup |
| Oct 29, 2023 | Austria Lustenau 0-4 TSV Hartberg | Bundesliga |
| Jul 29, 2023 | TSV Hartberg 2-2 Austria Lustenau | Bundesliga |
| Jun 2, 2023 | Austria Lustenau 5-1 TSV Hartberg | Bundesliga |
| Mar 31, 2023 | TSV Hartberg 0-1 Austria Lustenau | Bundesliga |
| Nov 5, 2022 | TSV Hartberg 1-1 Austria Lustenau | Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: Austria Lustenau vs TSV Hartberg on Oct 29, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
TSV Hartberg score 1.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Austria Lustenau score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TSV Hartberg | 1.9 | 1.5 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Austria Lustenau | 1.1 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
TSV Hartberg sit 6th in Bundesliga (8 points from 7 matches) and Austria Lustenau sit 8th (8 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | TSV Hartberg | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 8 |
| 8 | Austria Lustenau | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 8 |
A question about TSV Hartberg vs Austria Lustenau?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for TSV Hartberg vs Austria Lustenau?
- The Footlab AI model makes TSV Hartberg the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Austria Lustenau.
- Where and when is TSV Hartberg vs Austria Lustenau played?
- TSV Hartberg vs Austria Lustenau is played on October 11, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at PROfertil ARENA, in the Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.