TSV Hartberg vs Austria Lustenau: prediction and stats
BundesligaRegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)PROfertil ARENA, Hartberg
The Footlab model makes TSV Hartberg the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Austria Lustenau. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win TSV Hartberg vs Austria Lustenau?
TSV Hartberg starts as the favourite with a 102-point Elo edge (1,948 vs 1,847).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, TSV Hartberg have 6 wins, 1 draws and 8 defeats; Austria Lustenau have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | SCR Altach(away) | 2-1 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Austria Vienna(home) | 0-2 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sturm Graz(home) | 0-2 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Red Bull Salzburg(away) | 0-1 | Bundesliga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Imst(away) | 3-1 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sturm Graz(away) | 1-1 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Wolfsberger AC(home) | 2-1 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Grazer AK(away) | 1-2 | Bundesliga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Ried(home) | 1-1 | Bundesliga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Krems / Rehberg(away) | 1-0 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 TSV Hartberg win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Austria Lustenau win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2024 | Austria Lustenau 0-3 TSV Hartberg | Cup |
| Oct 29, 2023 | Austria Lustenau 0-4 TSV Hartberg | Bundesliga |
| Jul 29, 2023 | TSV Hartberg 2-2 Austria Lustenau | Bundesliga |
| Jun 2, 2023 | Austria Lustenau 5-1 TSV Hartberg | Bundesliga |
| Mar 31, 2023 | TSV Hartberg 0-1 Austria Lustenau | Bundesliga |
| Nov 5, 2022 | TSV Hartberg 1-1 Austria Lustenau | Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: Austria Lustenau vs TSV Hartberg on Oct 29, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
TSV Hartberg score 1.4 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Austria Lustenau score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TSV Hartberg | 1.4 | 1.7 | 2 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Austria Lustenau | 1.1 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
TSV Hartberg sit 10th in Bundesliga (3 points from 4 matches) and Austria Lustenau sit 5th (5 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Austria Lustenau | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| 10 | TSV Hartberg | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for TSV Hartberg vs Austria Lustenau?
- The Footlab model makes TSV Hartberg the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Austria Lustenau.
- Where and when is TSV Hartberg vs Austria Lustenau played?
- TSV Hartberg vs Austria Lustenau is played on October 10, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at PROfertil ARENA, in the Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.